HAHAHA! Allen Alley's hilarious map
Kari Chisholm
Seriously, Allen Alley?
Oregon GOP chairman Allen Alley believes Oregon and its seven electoral votes could send Mitt Romney to the White House.
The scenario is a distinct possibility if Romney defeats Barack Obama in five of the "battleground states," he said. ... Alley's strategic map lists Indiana, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida.
Yeah, right. In Allen Alley's fantasy world, Mitt Romney's going to win Indiana and North Carolina (ok, sure), plus Virginia (iffy), and both Ohio and Florida (tough) -- and do that WITHOUT winning a single other swing state from Obama's '08 lineup -- New Hampshire, Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Colorado, or Iowa.
Seriously, man. It's getting comical. If Oregon is in play, then that means Romney's already won.
And besides, how is the Oregon Republican Party going to deliver Oregon to Romney when it can't even afford a projector screen?
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4:20 p.m.
Jul 25, '12
Delusional as it is, you have to give him credit for being a trooper and trying to motivate a disheartened GOP party in Oregon when there is no chance at all. The national GOP has plainly written off Oregon and the contest is in a handful of swing states. Obama's electoral vote lead is at 332 at most sites now. So yup.. Oregon is the savior of Mitt Romney, you tell 'em, Allen!
11:04 p.m.
Jul 25, '12
Of course Oregon's a swing state. Look at the great Republican track record of winning statewide elections over the past decade. Remember incumbent Senator Gordon Smith's re-election victory in 2002? What more proof do you need that Oregon's in play this year?
12:26 p.m.
Jul 26, '12
I think you've got a typo there... Smitty lost in '08.
9:56 a.m.
Jul 27, '12
Larry, I think Doug was making a joke.
7:40 a.m.
Jul 26, '12
To be fair, Oregon has a 0.5% chance of being the tipping point state according to Nate Silver's analysis. So we're #14 in the odds nationally.
But yes, if Romney wins in Oregon, he'll have won in Colorado, New Hampshire, or Iowa - probably all three.
8:38 a.m.
Jul 26, '12
Mr. Grasp -- meet Mr. Straw.
But Bill Ryan's point is spot on. Alley's simply trying to rally Oregon's GOP troops -- both of them -- by engaging in a bit of wish fulfillment.
2:26 p.m.
Jul 26, '12
Alley is definitely doing his job, and it's more than simply trying to pump up his troops for the Presidential campaign. Like any good political operative, he knows that hope in the top-of-the-ticket race will help turn out votes for down ballot races. The Oregon House and statewide Exec. offices will go to the Party that best turns out its voters.
The National and State GOP is licking it's chops at gaining more Exec branch seats. In a tightly polling race, the GOP is hoping to unseat Democrat Brad Avakian in the Labor Commissioner Race. This would be a GOP coup, and a tremendous loss for Oregonians.
In the 47 states that have Secretaries of State, the 2010 election flipped a resounding Democratic majority (27-20) to an even more resounding GOP majority (28-19). GOP officials do not live in state-bordered silos, and GOP policies of voter surpression are spread like cancers among their ilk. A GOP SOS in Oregon would be a featured prize, and could threaten voter access in Oregon if a potential GOP trend broadened to the Legislature and elongated into 2014.
Alley and his team hope we're not paying much attention to the statewide races, esp. with Dem SOS Kate Brown polling well now. But the GOP SOS candidate has an effective team that just grabbed the Indy Party "nomination," and with the expectation of a money dump, we should take nothing for granted.
In Congressional District 5, Kurt Schrader looks pretty secure against a low profile opponent. But Tea Party howling with heavy cash support from Americans for Prosperity have turned recent Clackamas County elections into free-for-alls that have left Democrats battered.
We have a tendancy to rest on our liberal laurels up here in the River City, whether we scoff at the just-not-progressive-enough incumbent or prefer to wax poetic about higher ideals. Some would rather ID disatisfaction points, sit it out and pout. And many of the same folks who bitterly complain that Democratic Electeds have no spine are too gutless themselves to actually walk a canvass and talk to voters.
Alley wants to take advantage of these Democratic weaknesses, generate directed activism among the screeching Tea Party branch, and inspire hope in long time GOP Party faithful.
...and I take him very seriously.
4:52 p.m.
Jul 28, '12
Well said Karla.