OR-4: Sid Leiken's campaign circles the drain

Kari Chisholm FacebookTwitterWebsite

October 15 was the deadline for congressional campaigns to report their fundraising totals for the three-month period from July 1 to September 30. And, as usual, the incumbents raked it in. (Here's a roundup by the O's Jeff Mapes.)

And given all the tribulations that GOPer Sid Leiken has faced, you might expect that his fundraising would be a little short of the total raised by Congressman Peter DeFazio.

But if you thought the former-rising-star mayor of Springfield was still a viable contender - potentially even "vigorous competition" - you'd be wrong.

Sid Leiken's campaign is functionally over. All that's left is for someone at the NRCC to fly in and administer the last rites.

Peter DeFazio has $582,000 cash-on-hand. But Politico's Josh Kraushaar reports that over the last three months, Sid Leiken raised just $18,000 -- and has only $21,000 cash-on-hand. Kraushaar calls him the "most disappointing of all" of the highly-touted candidate recruits in the nation. From Politico:

Every two years, there’s a group of highly-touted recruits who never manage to get their campaigns off the ground. This quarter’s reports give an idea of who might be part of the next crop of flops. ...

Most disappointing of all was Springfield, Oregon, Mayor Sid Leiken, running against Democratic Rep. Peter DeFazio. A Republican whose candidacy generated early buzz, he’s all but disappeared from the national radar. Over the past three months, he raised just $18,000 and has only $21,000 left in his account. Pencil DeFazio in for a 13th term.

Meanwhile, the latest twist in the state investigation into the $2000 cash transaction that Leiken claims paid for a poll conducted by his mother's unregistered polling firm is truly bizarre.

In an October 2 response to a mid-September request for more information to prove the poll was actually conducted, Glenda Leiken offered the following explanation (pdf):

I used a disposable/single use phone to retain my privacy, as my cell phone is my only personal phone line. The cell phone account was closed over 5 months ago and the phone company does not retain phone records for closed accounts, therefore phone records are not available.

Seriously. A disposable phone.

Who uses disposable phones except drug dealers, terrorists, and criminals? If Leiken's P&G Marketing really was a legit business, wouldn't she at least have had a regular cell phone - if not a landline?

And, as you might imagine, the Elections Division wants more information (pdf):

1. In your response you state that you used a disposable/single use phone. What wireless provider/company did you use? What phone number was issued to that phone?

2. When and where did you purchase the phone? What date did you cancel the service?

3. Was this a pre-paid or pay-as-you-go plan? How was the phone and service paid for, i.e. check, credit card? Please provide a copy of the receipt.

At every turn, it seems that the Leikens are trying to claim that the lack of evidence of the existence of this poll is just a funny coincidence, that's all a misunderstanding of a legitimate and above-board situation.

But with a misreported campaign expenditure, a cash transaction, an unsigned and undated receipt, an unregistered company, a missing "tally sheet", a disposable phone - well, what are we supposed to think happened here?

Previously on BlueOregon:

  • portlandprogressive (unverified)
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    Here's some things Sid Leiken could do to get his campaign back on track and be popular in Blue Oregon:

    • Make sure to wear Che Guevara hats and t-shirts in public and all campaign events.
    • Make sure to quote Joesph Stalin & Mao Tse-Tung often
    • Have a homosexual experience with someone who's 18 years old.
    • Engage in class-warfare at every opportunity.
    • Randomly accuse your opponents as being racists.
    • Invent a crisis, and scare people - especially the elderly - into voting for you.
    • Hang out with Carla Axtman.
    • Be seen riding your bike around town, only drive your big SUV when there are no cameras around.
    • Advocate recycling and green living, but don't actually do any of it yourself.
    • Be photographed with as many 'victims' as possible. Blame people and opponents for the plight of your victims.
    • hire detectives and under world characters to dig up dirt on your opponents and threaten them.
    • Cross dress with Jeff Alworth.
    • Burn an Amerikan flag at some event.
    • In front of cameras, give a $100 bill to some unemployed single parent. Then promptly take it back after the photo-op.
    • Ban toilet paper.
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    Tough to be a Republican these days, eh?

  • David from Eugene (unverified)
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    I would not be so quick to count Leiken out. DeFazio might still decide to throw his hat into the Governors’ Race. If he does Leikien’s chances go way up. The likely Democrat candidates are not going to find defeating Leiken easy.

  • (Show?)

    If DeFazio runs for governor, the other Republican candidates will easily crush Leiken. The only thing holding back primary opponents now is the prospect of facing DeFazio, not facing Leiken.

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    If DeFazio runs for governor, the other Republican candidates will easily crush Leiken. The only thing holding back primary opponents now is the prospect of facing DeFazio, not facing Leiken.

    Oh, really? Name one.

  • Pedro (unverified)
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    Someone please get Glenda Leiken a lawyer before she talks her way into some jail time.

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    Oh, really? Name one.

    Rick Dancer?

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    Jack, I feel quite confident that if DeFazio doesn't run for reelection, the GOP field will not be Sid Leiken's all alone. And at this rate, just about anyone could beat him -- you, Rick, a state legislator, or even a mildly well-connected local official or businessperson.

  • (Show?)

    Kari, two points:

    1. To beat Sid, someone has to run against him (which definitely takes me out, and probably Rick Dancer as well).

    2. You overestimate how much this flap is resonating with the average voter and underestimate how well Sid is known and how popular he is down here in Lane County.

    I might add a third point, which you probably know as well as I do:

    1. In the end, DeFazio will be running for reelection, rendering the rest of this discussion moot.
  • rw (unverified)
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    Jack, I wish you would tour the city teaching people that it's MOOOOOOOOOOT, not MYEWT [mute].

    I've given up trying to help ppl understand the difference between the two words and how to use them. Such delicious words, so much carnage.

    Another one? Used up here a lot, blindly.

    "'Everyone doesn't' clap their hands. Some rattle programs." as a f'rinstance.

    That dolt just told me that NOBODY CLAPS and some rattle. What they meant to say to me was "NOT EVERYONE claps their hands. Some rattle programs." I've NEVER successfully explained that to a doltish user of the ubiquitous "EVERYONE DOESN'T".... I clearly remember, still, the first time I heard a PhD say taht in a lecture... I was astonished. And literally physically ill. I lost respect for them.

    Heh. And I still have a visceral response to it when I hear it. I just no longer try to help them understand what they just said. I leave it alone. They do it on the news, in classes, seminars... everywhere!

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    RW, huh?!

    Jack, yes #3 reigns here. It doesn't really matter that voters aren't paying attention. It's clear that donors are. And without any money, an opponent would be able to summarize the story in a compelling way for the voters and Sid wouldn't be able to effectively respond.

    I'll add a #4: If DeFazio leaves, and another plausible GOPer gets in, I suspect Sid will drop out.

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    I don't know, rw, maybe when you hear people say mute, they're trying to send you a different message. :-)

  • fbear (unverified)
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    At this point, it seems as though a piece of lichen would stand a better chance than Sid Leiken.

    The Leikens are ignoring what Molly Ivins called the first rule of holes--stop digging.

  • springfielder (unverified)
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    He's my Mayor. I really like what he's done for the city, and would like him to stay put.
    That said, I would never vote for him anywhere else. I don't want anyone with an (R) behind their name "representing" me in national office.

    Would like to see DeFazio stay put too. He and Wyden are good guys, representing us well.

    I haven't been following Leiken's poll problem, but it sounds like it's getting interesting.

    Oh, and I think "Who uses disposable phones except drug dealers, terrorists, and criminals?" was a really stupid thing to say.

  • Pedro (unverified)
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    <h2>Jack - You are missing one of Kari's main points, Sid isn't raising any money!</h2>

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