The Future of Liberalism
Jeff Alworth
Republicans can no longer avoid the hard questions. The 2008 Change Election massacre has precipitated a highly entertaining wave of soul-searching (and finger-pointing) among conservatives. But as amusing as that process is certain to be, liberals shouldn't spend their time gawking--we've got at least as much thinking to do, and almost no time to do it.
Liberalism hasn't gone through a serious re-evaluation since the late 80s, when the DLC tried to respond to the Reagan political re-orientation. As cultural populism swamped economic populism and "liberal" became a dirty word, Democrats have been practicing reactive politics, responding to conservatives who have been steadily re-making government. Along the way, Democrats have behaved like prisoners with Stockholm Syndrome, readily adopting the political framework of the right. The Democratic Party is now more oriented toward business than labor, toward cutting taxes than offering social programs, and since 9/11, toward the muscular use of force rather than an emphasis on negotiation and peace.
It leaves us in a bizarre situation. The GOP was given the opportunity to run several experiments--tactical invasions, deregulation, trickle-down economics, etc.--only to see all fail spectacularly. But the Democrats, inheritors of the reins of power, don't seem to be having any serious discussion about whether to change direction--and we seem dangerously close to charging forward under the same assumptions that ruined the GOP.
Below are a few obvious areas where the Democrats confront a real moment of truth:
- Labor and business. Since the 1970s, the US goverment has adopted policies that steadily eroded workers' income and security while reducing business' risk. The emergence of global markets in the 1990s led to further support for businesses, which increasingly treated workers as an unwanted barrier and expense. Philosophically, the right wing asserted (self-servingly) that workers' well-being was assured by business' success. Do liberals still agree with this? What commitment will liberals make to workers in the future? To business?
- War and peace. The military-industrial complex is not a new phenomenon. But under neocons, we experimented with a radical approach to foreign policy--invasion as risk-management. The US now has a sprawling military so vast and expensive that we have forces in nearly every country in the world. Barack Obama says that he plans to boost forces in Afghanistan in what appears to be a continuation of the current philosophy. Liberal foreign policy has always favored engagement rather than isolation. But is this the Wilsonian liberalism we want? What would a new, liberal foreign policy look like in the age of terror and rising giants (China, Russia, India, Brazil, etc.)?
- Taxes and spending. This is one of the strangest reversals. Democrats have become the party of restraint, Republicans of profligate deficit spending. Clinton slashed welfare and got rid of the deficit; Bush went deeply into debt (even raiding Social Security) to fund bloated spending on wars and tax cuts for the wealthy. Are Democrats really willing to put fiscal restraint at the top of thier list of priorities? What does that mean for health care and the environment?
This is certainly not an exhaustive list, but perhaps adequate as a discussion-starter. Which direction do you want the Democrats to go, both in Salem and Washington? It's time for a little soul-searching of our own.
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Nov 10, '08
There are several primary things I'd like to see from the Democratic party and the new administration:
Completely publicly repudiate the use of the military and CIA to accomplish economic or political or law enforcement goals. Pull all military out of the Middle East and Asia and all military/DEA out of South and Central America. They should sever all ties with mercenary organizations and completely shake out any influence that military contractors have over military policy. End military aid to Israel, Colombia, etc. The military should be for defending America and its allies against aggression, not making the world safe for plutocracy.
end any other kind of corporate welfare, including bailouts, subsidies, tariffs, mandates on the use of corporate products, R&D giveaways, copyright and patent extensions, cheap timber sales, etc.
affirm a commitment to supporting individuals' free choices by ending the drug war and removing regulatory barriers on education, marriage and other issues.
They should finally ratify the ERA, too. These are all progressive goals and would be sharp breaks from recent Democratic Party policy. Any one of them might actually get me to join the party. Is this too radical?
Nov 10, '08
Liberal became a dirty when the public realized it defined politicians who put government programs in place not as a way to solve a societal problem but as a way to create a constituency dependent on their party for entitlements.
LBJ’s Great Society programs of the 60’s were a perfect example of this. As years went by the excuse became “we need more money” to make the program work, a con job the public finally caught on to by the 80’s. Had many of those programs been crafted to improve people’s lives and then allowed to expire you wouldn’t have had the backlash against liberalism that exists even among “progressives” today.
To his credit Bill Clinton recognized this and worked with Congress to reform welfare at the risk of alienating many within his party. If he’d of stayed on track he could have been one of the countries great reformers.
Nov 10, '08
Fundamentally Flawed Premise
We should all welcome Jeff's suggestion that Democrats continue to engage in a robust discussion about our future direction as a Party.
But I cannot agree with Jeff's premise that this discussion has been lacking over the past year. In light of who the Democrats nominated to be their standard bearer, and given who the country just elected to be the next President, the following statement from Jeff is puzzling:
To the contrary, on both foreign and domestic policy, President-elect Obama broke sharply from the assumptions of the current Republican administration.
He opposed the Iraq invasion; he has consistently pushed for a timetable for withdrawal; he has emphasized robust diplomacy, including talking to our enemies; he has called the economic crisis a "final verdict" on the Republicans "failed philosophy" of "tickle-down" economics; and he has sharply criticized the deregulatory practices of the modern Republican era.
Again, I'm glad Jeff has opened up the floor for a discussion of big-picture issues, and I certainly agree with his initial assertion that:
Indeed, I spent much of the past four months compiling and publishing a book dedicated to exposing the failures in the latter two areas mentioned by Jeff.
So I'm 100% with him on his assessment of economic policy over the past eight years, and I suspect we're of a similar mind with respect to how the massive Republican failure in that area presents Democrats with an opportunity to pursue fundamental change in the model of the New Deal, not just incremental change in the model of the 1990s.
But I cannot agree with Jeff's assertion that we are "dangerously close" to continuing the assumptions of the GOP.
Let's be clear: We didn't nominate and elect Joe Lieberman to be president.
We nominated and elected Barack Obama, and he's been crystal clear about changing direction.
Nov 10, '08
Also -- the idea that the GOP has promoted genuine deregulation is ridiculous. They hate the idea of a free market as much as anyone.
1:07 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
Buckman Res, that's exactly the pablum the right has spouted for 28 years. I mean, for god's sake, you're playing the LBJ card? That was a half century ago.
Reality is more complex. If we want health care, we're going to have to spend money to get it. That means raising taxes or cutting other spending. If we want to generate more revenues via taxes, we also need a strong economy. Republicans cite it as an absolute article of faith that cutting regulation--any regulation, all regulation--along with taxes will produce wealth for all citizens. This old wives tale may be persuasive to you, but the data are clear--it's hogwash.
1:28 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
Jim, I disagree. (And for the record, no one was an earlier or bigger supporter of Obama than I.) Obama didn't run as a liberal. He ran as a DLC moderate. Given that even this was caricatured as socialist and that he was called "radical" and "the most liberal candidate in American history," it's clear he made the right call.
But let's review. While he's suggesting that we could move in a different foreign policy direction, he made that terrible AIPAC speech and said we need to beef up in Afghanistan (a position to the right of many active generals'). He wants to expand our military forces, continue to fund military technologies like national missile defense. He also wants to increase the US's emphasis on engagement, but from the miliary side, he wants to give us a bigger stick. After the Bush years!
His tax plan emphasized tax cutting--ceding the philosophical argument to the Norquistas. I'm hopeful that he's looking to return to Keynes' point about deficit spending during hard times so we can invest in infrastructure, but this is hardly a done deal. More to the point, what's the philosophical orientation here? Is a top marginal tax rate of 35% (current) or 39% (proposed) adequate to fund the services we'd like? Where's the discussion of fairness. And what about labor? It was the forgotten man in this election.
Finally, his health care proposal wasn't so hot. A liberal policy would recognize that the current system is fatally flawed: sick people are bad for business. So where's the liberal principle guiding that discussion?
These are fairly standard ideas but ones I have yet to hear anyone mention. They are liberal ideas. We have the power, so why aren't we talking about them?
-> Single-payer health care; -> Policies that encourage, rather than discourage, unions; -> Government-subsidized child care; -> Carbon taxes; -> Serious scaling back on military spending; -> Ending the incestuous relationship between defense contractors and defense contracts; -> Re-regulating the media and forcing competition; -> Kucinich's (now ridiculed) Dept. of Peace.
I could go on and on. What about elections where every candidate gets free ad time? What about a Manhattan project to create non-carbon energy? Jim, can you show me where real liberal ideas have been offered by anyone in the Democratic Party? I'm missed them.
1:54 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
Jeff, I think you missed one:
Freedom and Equality - the Republican Party has used legislation and judicial appointments to coerce adherence to religious orthodoxies promoted by a subset of our nation's citizens. As a result, womens' right to reproductive freedom, and LGBT citizen's right to equal protection in their families, employment, and housing are all at continued risk. Will Democrats recognize that individual choices over how we give birth and make love are inherent personal rights worth nationwide protection?
Nov 10, '08
Regulating the media is a liberal idea? Center-left, maybe, but liberal? No.
One thing that would certainly promote media competition would be to repeal the requirement for a federal license to broadcast radio waves, and stop censoring content -- in short, abolish the FCC. That would be liberal.
Nov 10, '08
Here are some quick, impactful decisions I hope to see from the start of the new Presidency:
Clearly and unambiguously repudiate and order an immediate cease and desist order against waterboarding and any other "techniques" covered in the entire Third and Fourth Geneva Conventions and in the European Convention on Human Rights.
Immediately cease and desist the practice of "extraordinary rendition"
Immediately cease and desist the practice of warrantless wiretapping
These seem like actions that could be taken with little delay and immediate effect.
Longer-term items:
Begin the process of closing Guantanamo Bay
End/Repeal the Military Commissions Act of 2006
-tl
Nov 10, '08
Jeff,
In your original post, you wrote:
In my response, I agreed that you had identified three core philosophical issues, but pointed out that the Democratic nominee sharply broke with Republican assumptions on all three.
In your follow-up comment, you decline to address Obama's positions against the Iraq invasion, against deregulation and against trickle-down economics. Instead, you offer the bald assertion that Obama "ran as a DLC moderate."
Really?
Imagine a "DLC moderate" winning the Democratic nomination by relentlessly insisting that the Iraq war "never should have been authorized and never should have been waged."
Imagine a "DLC moderate" standing before the nation and ripping into "that old, discredited Republican philosophy - give more and more to those with the most and hope that prosperity trickles down to everyone else."
Imagine a "DLC moderate" blasting deregulation in 2007 (before such criticism became fashionable) and arguing that "Washington needs to stop acting like an industry advocate and start acting like a public advocate."
Imagine a "DLC moderate" giving a high-profile speech to SEIU's 2008 convention pledging to "make the Employee Free Choice Act the law of the land."
If that's what it means to be a "DLC moderate," sign me up!
Look. It's one thing to argue, as you do in your follow-up comment, that Democrats should be more aggressive in considering specific policy proposals that you deem to be sufficiently liberal.
It's quite another to assert, as you did in your original post, that Democrats are adopting the same core assumptions as the GOP when the very assumptions you name have been explicitly, loudly, and repeatedly rejected by the top Democrat in the nation.
As for some of the specific failings you mention in your follow-up comment:
Obama's position on Afghanistan is in the best tradition of a smart and strong Democratic approach to foreign policy. When possible, use tough diplomacy. When necessary, use force. Diplomacy wasn't an option with Hitler, and the greatest Democratic president of the last century led us in a massive military buildup for World War II. Diplomacy isn't an option with Al Qaeda, and President-elect Obama's approach to Afghanistan is exactly what one would expect from an FDR Democrat.
I seem to recall Obama mentioning something about spreading the wealth. I seem to recall that comment getting a little attention during the most high-profile stage of the campaign. I seem to recall Obama going on national television and refusing to disavow his statement. And I seem to recall the Tax Policy Institute reaching the following conclusion:
But, no, other than all that, the issue of tax fairness really didn't come up this campaign.
Not to President-elect Obama. From the aforementioned speech to SEIU:
Here's the recognition:
And here's the guiding principle:
As you may recall, Obama famously reaffirmed that principle during the debates, providing one of the starkest contrasts with his Republican opponent.
Bottom Line:
There's nothing wrong with advocating that Democratic leaders take a more aggressive approach. The progressive base did that under FDR, and I expect it to do likewise under Obama. But I don't think it helps the cause to engage in unfounded generalizations about the Obama-led Democratic Party being "dangerously close" to adopting failed Republican assumptions.
Nov 10, '08
Liberal became a dirty when the public realized it defined politicians who put government programs in place not as a way to solve a societal problem but as a way to create a constituency dependent on their party for entitlements...To his credit Bill Clinton recognized this and worked with Congress to reform welfare at the risk of alienating many within his party.
Must. Find. Barf bag.
Sorry, I hold Bill Clinton up as a key culprit in turning the Democrats into GOP Lite, especially after the 1994 electoral debacle, when he tried to co-opt the GOP agenda. I didn't vote for him for re-election in 1996, and when Hillary Clinton spent the winter and spring campaigning for Bill Clinton's 3rd term, I was, shall we say, unenthused.
Nov 10, '08
Liberal became a dirty when the public realized it defined politicians who put government programs in place not as a way to solve a societal problem but as a way to create a constituency dependent on their party for entitlements...To his credit Bill Clinton recognized this and worked with Congress to reform welfare at the risk of alienating many within his party.
Must. Find. Barf bag.
Sorry, I hold Bill Clinton up as a key culprit in turning the Democrats into GOP Lite, especially after the 1994 electoral debacle, when he tried to co-opt the GOP agenda. I didn't vote for him for re-election in 1996, and when Hillary Clinton spent the winter and spring campaigning for Bill Clinton's 3rd term, I was, shall we say, unenthused.
Nov 10, '08
I don't think much of the EFCA, but the new Democratic majority should certainly repeal the Taft-Hartley Act.
Nov 10, '08
Liberals have only used entitlements to create voters because of their minority status. It's a fundamental flaw in the non-parliamentary system. But it's a flaw that the far right may save us from and allow liberals to concentrate on goals without having to water down principles to achieve electoral victory.
Karl Rove wanted a permanent majority with the GOP and he got a permanent core block, the evangelical right. They're already touting Romney, Huckaby and Palin as the only frontrunners for the next election. They'll let moderates move to the center for a while before the bloodbath to see who's who. In the end it will be the "Party of God".
Since moderate Republicans won't just become Dems or Libertarians, they'll start "America's Party" or some such nonsense. Take home lesson would be that both right and left will have the vote split. No more "the Libertarian always costs the Dem the election" probs, since the new GOP will have the "Party of God" at their heels. The far right are like spoiled little kids. They won't go home empty handed. My best hope for true parliamentary government in the US lies with their whining.
Nov 10, '08
"Barack Obama says that he plans to boost forces in Afghanistan in what appears to be a continuation of the current philosophy. "
Out of Iraq and into Afghanistan? Is that what the big Obama revolution is about? What about Hope and change - I guess that was call campaign BS..
6:51 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
Leo, I agree. I wasn't trying to be exhaustive, but I would definitely include your comments in a fuller list.
Joel H. My comment is more about the way the FCC allowed consolidation. You need to regulate the industry to prevent that. (Whether it's through the FCC or another agency is beside the point.) You could add a number of communications issues in a fuller account. Personally, a fave of mine is to mandate public service announcements for candidates during elections.
TL, agree wholeheartedly.
7:23 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
Jim, holy moly man. All right, here we go.
In your follow-up comment, you decline to address Obama's positions against the Iraq invasion, against deregulation and against trickle-down economics. Instead, you offer the bald assertion that Obama "ran as a DLC moderate."
Obama was great on Iraq. But Iraq isn't our only foreign policy entanglement. His positions are now the position of everyone from Bush to the generals. There's no debate. But Afghanistan, where there is a vigorous debate, demonstrates that he's looking to continue the muscular philosophy. I hope not, but there's no denying it away. Deregulation and the economy. Well, I hope for the best but Paul Volcker? To use your locution, really? His economics team is hardly a pack of Marxists. We'll see.
It's quite another to assert, as you did in your original post, that Democrats are adopting the same core assumptions as the GOP when the very assumptions you name have been explicitly, loudly, and repeatedly rejected by the top Democrat in the nation.
Look, he's going to be a break with Bush, no question. But so far, he hasn't done anything that anyone has regarded as a radical departure. Smiling conservative pundits like George Will and David Gergen admire where he's headed. They're not fire-breathers like the pinheads at the Corner, but come on, they're not Chomskyites, either.
Now, onto the specifics.
Afghanistan. While you came perilously close to breaking Godwin's Law, but your argument misses the point. If you want to compare Afghanistan to Germany, tell me how the Taliban are going to invade Iran. The comparisons between a medieval theocracy of petit warlords and the German war machine could not be further apart. Tell me what liberal philosophy argues for beefing up Afghanistan. Liberal engagement does not dictate pouring troops onto hot spots like fires.
Philosophical orientation of economics. Yes, Obama does have a tax plan that would cut taxes on most Americans and marginally raise them on the richest. That's a pragmatic adjustment to our current governing philosophy. As Obama himself pointed out numerous times, the top marginal rate under his system will still be lower than under Clinton. This is hardcore progressive taxation?
A strongly liberal approach would be to radically alter the tax structure, hitting the wealthy with a 40-45% upper marginal rate and slashing capital gains cuts. It would slash loopholes for corporations (which Obama has said he'll do--good!) and fund programs like higher ed, healthcare, child care, and so on, so that workers could compete in a global marketplace.
Obama may do all of this, but don't paint his proposal as something more than it is.
On labor. You mention his quote supporting labor without mentioning the policies that would increase union membership. Or did I miss those policies?
On health care. This one has been well argued, and I could cite you numerous analyses that point out where his fall short. A liberal plan is single-payer. A doable plan that remains liberal is Wyden's, which would look like the German system. An improvement to the current system that would increase enrollment is Obama's plan.
But let's not quibble on the points. I think it's your bottom line where you really miss the boat.
There's nothing wrong with advocating that Democratic leaders take a more aggressive approach. The progressive base did that under FDR, and I expect it to do likewise under Obama. But I don't think it helps the cause to engage in unfounded generalizations about the Obama-led Democratic Party being "dangerously close" to adopting failed Republican assumptions.
I did not set out to trash Obama. Read through my posts or my personal blog and you'll see that I am a massive fan of Obama. I always chafedat Krugman's critique of Obama because he judged him for policies forwarded during a campaign, not the policies he might actually pass. You do the best to create a facsimile of how you'll govern. I'm convinced Obama's solutions, which will have wide support, will ultimately look a lot more liberal than they do now.
But where I really think you're wrong is to suggest that we shouldn't be challenging our assumptions now. We are dangerously close to continuing these policies, and your hearty defense actually underscores the point. Now is the moment for us to stop and say, hey, we've got the power. What do we actually want to do? There are political considerations to every policy, and some sell better than others. I'd lead with those. But if bloggers can't have a nice, family discussion without being shouted down as being "unhelpful," remind me why exactly we wanted to win the election in the first place.
Let me put the question back to you, Jim. Without refering to an Obama position, just as a matter of direction, what policies do you want.
Nov 10, '08
Jeff: Yes, I agree, that's liberal. I thought you were talking about the Equal Time thing.
I don't fully agree with everything in it, but the Democrats would also do well to implement the ACLU's transition plan.
And in addition to the ERA, how about a constitutional amendment recognizing a personal right to privacy?
Nov 10, '08
You guys took over Congress in 2006. You promised to get us out of Iraq and reduce gas prices.
Guess what? We are still in Iraq, and gas prices hit their highest peak six months ago. The only reason they are down is because of a global economic slowdown. And it was democrats, overwhelmingly, that voted to give Wall Street untold billions of dollars to save their asses. Republicans opposed it.
You have two years to deliver something. If you don't, it will be 1994 all over again.
Nov 10, '08
anon: Well, not to mention impeachment. Didn't happen. California has become even more disappointing to me lately, but I don't know which contributed more: Prop. 8 or the failure of San Francisco to kick Nancy Pelosi out of Congress.
In the long term, delivering an alternative to gas will be the only meaningful way to reduce transportation prices -- make no mistake, Congress can't put more crude oil in the ground. Thankfully, graduate students have more control over this than does Congress. But maybe they'll deliver some money for basic research. (Congress, I mean, not the grad students.)
Nov 10, '08
The Employee Free Choice Act doesn't count? Because I was under the impression that it was the number one priority of labor, and the number one target of the Club for Growth, the Chamber of Commerce and the RNC.
Well, the German war machine never managed to kill 3,000 Americans on American soil, but I'm not sure that distinction helps your argument that we should avoid a "muscular" approach to Al Qaeda in Afghanistan.
Agreed. Not Marxists. Not radicals. Not Chomskyites. If that's your standard, you're bound to be disappointed. My standard is FDR and the New Deal.
I'm confused. Republican Dwight Eisenhower held firm at 91%. How is it "strongly liberal" to make it 40%, as you propose, but somehow not "strongly liberal" to make it 39%, as Obama proposes? It seems to me you're admitting something important about pragmatic politics and the relevant baseline by proposing a range of 40-45%, but then holding Obama's proposal to to a much different standard than you hold your own proposal.
Nobody's shouting down anyone. You and I have gone back and forth, point by point, in several long posts for all here to read.
If there's a place in the family discussion for you to flatly accuse Democrats of not having "any serious discussion about whether to change direction" -- essentially, a claim that Obama wasn't really serious about his central essage for the past two years -- there's certainly a place for others to disagree strongly.
Nov 10, '08
I cracked up at the following comment, which was published in the Sunday NY Times Week in Review:
How bad must the G.O.P. feel right about now? It portrayed Obama as a socialist, a communist, a Muslin, and a friend of terrorists, and the majority of American voters said, “Y’know, we’re O.K. with that, as long as he’s not a Republican.” – Jerry Smith
I'm thinking what was considered radical a year or so ago may be getting close to mainstream these days, with just about everything going into the dumpster.
Did anybody notice that Harvard study released in February that showed that more Americans had a positive view of the term "socialized medicine" than had a negative view? Here's an article on it: http://www.cjr.org/campaign_desk/socialized_medicine_rip.php
Another study found that a majority of doctors favored a single-payer system. So I would agree with Jeff that single-payer should be on the table.
9:33 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
Jim, you seem insistent on defending Obama from non-attacks and making this a party-first debate, so I'll just leave it there. However, since your last response was mainly a list of bon mots, I'll give you one back--
Agreed. Not Marxists. Not radicals. Not Chomskyites. If that's your standard, you're bound to be disappointed. My standard is FDR and the New Deal.
Well, I'd prefer not to have a Reaganite as Treasury Secretary. Is that what passes for an FDR liberal these days?
9:47 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
Deregulation started under Carter.
9:49 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
I'd also comment that the New America Project has done a serious reevaluation of liberalism, it's just not the kind of liberalism many here may want.
We live a generally conservative country, and the sort of Great Society programs we saw in the 60s or the New Deal of the 30s are the exception, not the rule, in how this country is governed.
10:09 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
Okay, headed to bed and I passed the computer once more. Paul, you sound exactly like that Brooks-Gergen-Will axis, parroting back their talking point about this country. It's impossible to argue this point because FDR precipitated what we think of as modern liberalism. It doesn't do any good to go back into the mists of time to see what the country was doing in 1841. "Center-right" has no context when compared to today.
Why do you assume that FDR and LBJ were the exceptions? I assume that we have a pendulum model, and that we're now headed back left. To support this, I would cite the manifold polling showing that Americans largely support liberal programs that would have been out of the question ten years ago.
So even if this is an aberration, as was the New Deal, why should we abandon the opportunity. (We just elected a black guy named Hussein. That's opportunity knocking, baby.)
But I'm not letting you off the hook, Paul: define your terms. What do you mean by "conservative" and where're your data.
Nov 10, '08
Jeff,
Volcker was not a "Reaganite." He was a Democrat appointed by Jimmy Carter. Reagan kept him on to do the difficult work during the early 1980s recession, but then jettisoned him for Greenspan.
Here's how the New York Times described the differences:
Oh. So Volcker got it right on the fundamental issue that led to the current financial meltdown, while Greenspan got it wrong.
I can't imagine why Obama might want to have Volcker around.
Cute reference to "bon mots." I'm sure labor thinks the Employee Free Choice Act is just "word games."
Except, you didn't. You launched yet another one of your "non-attacks," this time on Obama's decision to consult with Volcker.
I'm not interested in a "party-first" debate. But if you continue to willfully ignore the positions of the party's standard bearer, you shouldn't be surprised when those positions are brought to your attention -- whether on the Employee Free Choice Act, health care as a right, the denunciation of trickle-down economics, a tax policy that is nearly identical to your own professed "strongly liberal" proposal, support for re-regulation of the financial industry and opposition to the invasion and occupation of Iraq.
10:51 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
OK, this is mostly snark, but there's a point here about mandates...
The Republicans told us repeatedly that Barack Obama was going to deliver unto us a radical brand of socialism. Then he won more votes than any presidential candidate in history, and a bigger margin of victory than any Democrat in 40 years. Ergo, it's clear: America delivered a clear mandate. A mandate for socialism.
OK, snark. But you get my drift, right?
10:56 p.m.
Nov 10, '08
In the area of foreign affairs, progressive Democrats should find ways for the US to engage the world on more positive terms.
In Oregon, there is much the governing Democrats could and should do: (1) Invigorating world (foreign) language programs in the K-12 educational system with many more immersion programs starting in kindergarten and in languages critical for our economic and national security future (Mandarin, Russian, the languages of India, Portuguese for Brazil, Japanese, Indonesian, etc.); (2) Creating a publicly funded scholarship program to send high school student to spend an academic year abroad living with a foreign family, attending a foreign school and learning a foreign language (some study abroad programs cost less than the per pupil costs in local public high schools: such a program would take no new dollars); (3) Reducing the use of foreign oil by pursuing non or reduced-gas forms of transportation, especially hybird and electric cars; and (4) Pursuing all sustainability projects that reduce greenhouse gas emissions and finding a way to reach out to China to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions (we need innovative Oregon programs to help China reduce/stop/clean-up the coal power plants they are building).
We in Oregon could do much of this, so it is a moment of truth for Oregon Democrats/liberals/progressives.
Change! Yes we can!
Nov 11, '08
I'm curious about: "Diplomacy isn't an option with Al Qaeda, and President-elect Obama's approach to Afghanistan is exactly what one would expect from an FDR Democrat."
Why is diplomacy not an option again? If diplomacy isn't an option, then we really are in the never ending war, yes? Unless you think that we can kill Al Qaeda faster than they can decide that things like flying jets into our buildings is the only thing that will get our attention. And the rate at which we kill them (and the many innocents who get killed along with them as "collateral damage") doesn't cause their rate of recruiting to soar.
We have made more a lot more progress using diplomacy with Libya (source of the Lockerbie bombing, a real nasty terror strike) than we made by bombing them.
We used diplomacy quite successfully during the Cold War, engaging the Soviets in peaceful endeavors in a number of fields. We continue to use diplomacy in our dealings with China, a totalitarian state that rules by terror.
Whatever else you can say about Bin-Ladin and Al Qaeda, I think the words "diplomacy isn't an option" is music to their ears. If I'm in a loosely organized jihadist movement that's trying to keep middle eastern countries mired in the 7th Century, I pray every night for a Crusader mindset to dominate US policymaking -- the kind of mindset that says that there is no compromise or diplomacy with Islam.
Heck, you just have to look at Cuba to see how successful the "diplomacy isn't an option" thing works. If Fidel survives to see Obama inaugurated, that will make 11 US presidents who decided that force and isolation worked better than diplomacy.
Nov 11, '08
How about the basics? War is the continuation of diplomacy by other means. War without diplomacy is brute force. No empire has succeeded, in history, using pure brute force. This administration tried. It didn't work.
At this point those that say we can't talk to Al-Quaeda are saying, then, "Brute force is the only way to deal with Al-Quaeda". That is demonstrably false. We are too corrupt to use brute force (i.e. Tora Bora), we get too much blow-back (i.e. Al-Quaeda in Iran), and we refuse to consider a draft, required if our only response is brute force to every country in the world (i.e. Pentagon assessments of US preparedness/capability to engage in another major conflict).
"I won't talk to you, I'm covering my ears" is just the kind of simple minded, childish, non-starter that you would expect of the religious controlled right. Want to send a message by not talking to someone? Start with your religious right co-workers. And all those progressives that believe in constructive engagement? Learn to say "Al-Quaeda" with three syllables. Deliberate mis-pronunciation is a Bush league tactic.
Ultimately- not to suggest it- but, IF Obama pursues "the same policy in Afghanistan", it still won't be the same policy. Inconceivable that he would condone the CIA putting people in cement pits, spaying them with a flammable fluid, then lighting and quickly extinguishing it periodically (look at the pictures of the "American Al-Quaeda"), or wouldn't come to terms with Pakistan. Bottom line, Osama bin Laden would be taking American money for banal construction projects in the Gulf, had we not insisted on building abortion clinics for the military in Muslim countries in the 1980s. Obama will NEVER be able to match the hypocrisy of an administration that would 1). use the military for minority education; 2) deal with minority births in the military by providing easy abortion, regardless of the mores of the host country, and, then 3) conduct a war to enforce our right to do so, with political support garnered almost entirely from people that want to eliminate Americans' reproductive rights!
And those that think the petroleum execs left this administration no choice will find it hard to believe that Obama is somehow immune, which would mean that his policy will be to continue to secure access to mineral resources. Good news would be that either Obama's conduct of the war will be different, or, as comments have made amply obvious, a large section of the electorate will refuse to ever entertain thoughts that electing a Dem over a Rep will make any difference.
Nov 11, '08
"The Republicans told us repeatedly that Barack Obama was going to deliver unto us a radical brand of socialism. Then he won more votes than any presidential candidate in history, and a bigger margin of victory than any Democrat in 40 years. Ergo, it's clear: America delivered a clear mandate. A mandate for socialism."
Kari, don't forget about the $650Million he had, a heck of alot more dough than anyone else.
Nov 11, '08
Jim, could you make that argument without the "and then they killed over 3,000 Americans bit"? Pretty difficult.
Fact is that their attack was barely more successful than any other attack in recent years. Difference was that Rudy blew the towers to keep Manhattan in business. This is not a conspiracy theory. The fact is that the report said that the floors pancaked. Get the ruler out, look at published info. on the buildings' heights, do some trig. Do the textbook, high school, g acceleration experiment. The tower is in free-fall when it comes down. Pancake and free-fall are incompatible. Then get ANY construction engineer to look at a close up of the corners of the building just before the collapse. They will all point out to you the little puffs from the charges. Listen to the firefighters conversations. Just before the collapse a number talk about hearing a second explosion. One says "I'm pretty sure a bomb just went off". Tower 7 was never hit by plane or debris. It came down just the same. The Barcelona fire was bigger, burned for weeks in a less secure structure. Nothing came down. Face it; Al-Quaeda attacked the towers again, like everybody knew they would, and NYC had a back-up plan to keep commerce flowing, just in case. How about common sense? Was there one, on the scene reporter at the time, that didn't say, "The tower just imploded. It looked exactly like those building demolitions that we show".
Point is, will Obama tell us this?
Oh, and congrats. Oz sucks.
Nov 11, '08
Kari, who the hell would believe anything those Republicans said?
Nov 11, '08
Buckman Res, that's exactly the pablum the right has spouted for 28 years. I mean, for god's sake, you're playing the LBJ card? That was a half century ago.
Just remember their rhetoric come January 21, when the right wing is insisting that the world began the day Obama was sworn in, and that the economy, the war, and everything else is solely the fault of Democrats. Our answer is--never mind Bush, we're still paying the price of the Nixon Administration.
After all, the most important task for politicians in time of crisis is to articulate a reason why everything is the other party's fault.
Nov 11, '08
All that said I think it is important for liberals to realize that not all those who voted for Obama and other dems this time around completely buy into the entire liberal point of view on every point. Few actually do.
There are many folks out there who simply did not think Palin was qualified and/or that McCain was not the best choice for Pres. There are many who were sick and tired of the old GOP way of doing things, and wanted change.......any change.
That does not mean that every vote for a liberal candidate was an overwhelming endorsement for all liberal issues such as abortion rights, gay marriage, labor unions, or a complete buy-in to global warming. If liberals don't want the Dems don't want to fall apart in 4 years as the GOP has, they will need to be more inclusive of those with differing points of view, while still fighting for what they believe in.
Nov 11, '08
Do labels really matter?
"Liberal" FDR put American citzens into concentration camps in WWII based on the color of their skin. W, has his Guantanamo Bay.
W has Iraq. "Liberal" LBJ had his Vietnam.
Locally, we have "Liberal" Goldschmidt the child rapist and Gordon Smith and Mike Erikson the uber-hypocrites on illegal immigrants and abortion.
9:44 a.m.
Nov 11, '08
Jim, I'm not "willfully ignoring the positions of the party's standard bearer." I've been very clear about where I agree with Obama and where I disagree. But more to the point, for the purposes of this post, I don't care about his opinion. Yes, let's all swing into line, and agree to support Obama's policies. Aye aye. I'm with you. I never planned otherwise.
But the point was to explore the direction the liberal ship should tack. Base on your responses, I guess your answer is, "whatever direction Obama wants it to tack." Got it.
10:25 a.m.
Nov 11, '08
Then again, according to the London Review of Books, maybe Libya just got tired of waiting for the other story to come out:
10:43 a.m.
Nov 11, '08
Jeff, I'll proudly stand with Brooks and Gergen, albeit probably somewhat to the left on a number of issues.
George Will? Please.
I assume LBJ and FDR are the exceptions because they ARE. 212 years of history indicates that they are. This country has always had a deep seated hostility of centralized authority and government. We have always been anti party and anti politician. We constantly look for embodiments of Horatio Alger. We blame individuals for their woes, not government, not society, and not the economy.
On a worldwide scale of ideology, even our liberals are at best moderate conservatives.
So yes, my version of rethinking liberalism is to not look backwards but look forwards. Take the best ideas of conservatism and reject the worst ideas. I like the work of the New America Project and the Century Fund. I like John Podesta. I like Austan Goolsbee.
This may be "republican lite" to some but i think it is a third wave strategy and can cement progressive control of government.
Let's not forget what with all the celebration that Obama won nearly the same number of votes in Ohio as Kerry. The story in this election is as much the low GOP turnout as anything else. If we think we got some sort of mandate for a strong left turn, then I think we'll be looking at a 20-30 seat loss in two years.
10:46 a.m.
Nov 11, '08
"LBJ’s Great Society programs of the 60’s were a perfect example of this. As years went by the excuse became “we need more money” to make the program work, a con job the public finally caught on to by the 80’s."
Hogwash. As the years went by, the Republicans firmed up their Southern Strategy, using the Great Society programs as a wedge with bigoted and otherwise fearful whites to charge that the Democrats were giving shiftless niggers all your tax money. That's the con job, and unfortunately it took about 40 years for the public to finally catch on that a safety-net government was actually a good thing.
10:50 a.m.
Nov 11, '08
How did he do compared to Kerry in states besides Ohio? Say, North Carolina, or Indiana, or Virginia, or Nevada, or Florida, or Colorado, or Nebraska's Omaha CD?
Cherry picking Ohio seems an odd thing to do here. If by "strong left turn" you are including things such as reducing private control over healthcare, shifting tax policy to prime the pump from the bottom instead of the top, getting us out of a bad war, closing our infamous torture prison and making it easier than ever before to organize and form a union, I think that's exactly what people voted for.
11:14 a.m.
Nov 11, '08
Paul, we'll have to have this center-right argument in a fuller form, I think. But I have to say that you demonstrate your Brooksian sense nicely by plucking a single state--heavily Appalachian, very old--to make your argument.
The story in this election is as much the low GOP turnout as anything else.
Obama picked up six million voters nationally (+10%). And leaving aside Ohio, shall we look at some of the other red states he flipped? Here's his vote increase over Kerry.
+107,639 in Colorado (+10.7%) +690,826 in Florida (+19.3%) +398,536 in Indiana (+41.1%) +134,694 in Nevada (+33.9%) +88,665 in New Mexico (+23.9%) +597,541 in North Carolina (+39.2%) +497,223 in Virginia (+34.2%)
He also picked up 253k (+8.6%) in PA and 178k in Missouri (+14.1%). I say stand aside with your moderatism--commies unite!
(That's comedy, just in case anyone missed it.)
Nov 11, '08
The future is very simple: Do not become mean-sprited and obnoxious as the Conservatives were (and some still are)in thought and attitude. Do not be condescending to others simply because they either do not have money or do not have the social status that you have. And, please, do not attempt to force feed the common people any philosophical and theoretical garbage simply because you feel and belive you are automatically correct.
It is as simple as that.
Nov 11, '08
I want to urge again for anyone concerned with the future of liberalism and/or the Democratic Party to read "Deer Hunting with Jesus" by Joe Bageant. Very powerful book. Even my SO, who is normally pretty apolitical, is raving about it and pushing it on friends and family.
Nov 11, '08
Uh, where's Kershner when we need a reminder about the way that liberals like to bomb dark-skinned babies abroad?
Kershner: now more than ever.
2:32 p.m.
Nov 11, '08
Joel--lol!
When I started this thread, I expected the Harrys our there to hammer me from the left. Instead they've left the field open for hammering from the right. I'm with you, where's Harry when we need him?
Nov 11, '08
I mean, for god's sake, you're playing the LBJ card? That was a half century ago.
Oh yea, how silly of anyone to think something that happened before 1980 could possibly have any relevance on today’s events. After all, the ‘60’s are ancient history! Guess we can throw out all discussion of Vietnam, the Civil Rights movement, along with World Wars I & II and how they’ve shaped the world we live in today. Thanks for settin’ me straight!
Seriously thought, if you want to facilitate substantive discourse on a progressive blog I suggest you learn an appreciation of recent history and it's relevance to current events.
Nov 11, '08
You know, "deregulation" isn't the only thing that started during Carter's administration.
Maybe you guys don't like bombing foreign brown people, but your party's perfectly comfortable with it.
9:32 p.m.
Nov 11, '08
Jeff I'd ask who were those people? What were they voting for? Most, I'd hazard a guess, are pissed off at the economic situation and frustrated at an incompetent government. I see no evidence that they voted for (nor did Obama run on) a tremendous leftward shift.
Many of those states will easily flip back. (And you keep using the word "flip" as if voters changed their sentiments, and did not just turn out in this contest.)
i agree with eric parker--if we govern competently and sensitively and adopt workable policy solutions, we'll do well. If we drive off of the cliff, go isolationist and give up our international obligations, or propose vast new programs, we're in trouble.
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