Democratic Unity Meetings Scheduled for Thursday
Tomorrow, Democrats are hosting events in Portland and Eugene to demonstrate their unity following a spirited primary season. The Democratic Party of Oregon reports:
Merkley and Novick will lead statewide candidates and their primary opponents in two Democratic Party Unity Events. Oregon Governors Barbara Roberts and John Kitzhaber and State Sen. Kurt Schrader will also participate in Portland.
Fresh off his primary victory, Democratic Party U.S. Senate nominee and House Speaker Jeff Merkley will lead candidates for Secretary of State, Attorney General and State Treasurer in two Democratic Party Unity events. Many of the primary opponents in each race, including Steve Novick, will join the nominees onstage.
State Sen. Kurt Schrader, the nominee for the 5th Congressional District and Governors Barbara Roberts and John Kitzhaber will also join the candidates in Portland.
"Our party is united for change and preparing for victory," DPO Chair Meredith Wood Smith said. "From now through Election Day, Democrats in Oregon are united behind one goal, victory in November."
Event details:
Portland
Smith Memorial Student Union Rooms 296/298
Portland State University
1825 SW Broadway
Thursday, May 22, 9amEugene
Erb Memorial Union, Fir Room
University of Oregon
1228 University of Oregon
Thursday, May 22, 1 pm
Discuss.
May 21, 2008
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May 21, '08
How about unity behind the presidential nominee, Barack Obama? Hillary say she's going to take it all the way to the convention. Are Josh Kardon and his group going to go along with that? How can there be unity when the Clintonites are trying to bring down the party and its chances in the fall so she can run in 2012?
8:06 p.m.
May 21, '08
Wish I could be there, but getting to PSU at that time from Gresham? Not gonna happen unless I decide to put my safety in danger by using public transportation out here. And yes, the buses are just as bad as the MAX - my sister was almost assaulted coming over to watch Abby yesterday so I could be in Portland for Election Day.
Hope there's a good turn out.
May 21, '08
Speaking of party unity, I was surprised to hear Kevin Mannix say he won't be supporting his GOP rival in November because he couldn't support a dishonest man who was also a hypocrite. He just couldn't do it. But wait, didn't he support President Bush back in 2004?
May 21, '08
Will Macpherson be in attendance?
8:49 p.m.
May 21, '08
I'd love to be there to personally congratulate Merkley's folks but unfortunately am on deadline until 3 p.m. on Friday. I join Novick in wanting to help Merkley and will do everything I can to defeat Gordon Smith in the coming months.
This wasn't the outcome I hoped for last night but I'm incredibly proud of the campaign Steve ran. I also agree with Jeff that the primary helped make him a better campaigner. That's very gracious of Merkley to say. We've got an incredible opportunity this year and I have full confidence Democrats will take advantage of it.
It's the least we can do for the Obama administration:)
May 21, '08
Thanks for chiming in, Charlie, and I want to congratulate Novick's folks again for the extraordinary campaign they ran, too. Maybe this thread can be our own Democratic unity meeting.
May 21, '08
DPO Chair Smith needs to get off her ass and endorse OBAMA if she wants unity. if she thinks she can just sit back while Clinton tears the party apart,she has another thing coming. it is time for OBAMA supporters to take off the gloves. The Democratic party has spoken in this state and it said OBAMA. Smith, DO YOU HEAR ME.DO You want Insane McCain. No choice. More war. No health care. No education. GET OFF YOUR ASS AND DO YOUR GOD DAMN JOB. And keep Bradbury and K off the stage. They make me sick.
May 22, '08
Well, anonymous stranger, you've certainly convinced me to want to hold hands with you, and you may have your wish on Friday. I'm always happy to read all your productive contributions from all your pseudonyms to the progressive side of the blogosphere.
May 22, '08
Don't hold back, pissed.
Perhaps you can hold your own Unity Rally, and then you can exclude all those people who make you sick.
John
May 22, '08
Meredith is a Clinton supporter too. I doubt we'll see her lift a knuckle until Hillary concedes. And then we'll all be watching.
May 22, '08
Johnny Gnosis, you can say the same for Wyden. Although he hasn't indicated that he is a Clinton supporter, he says he will wait months yet (at the convention apparently) before he endorses anyone. What is this? Lack of conviction? Waiting to see who is finally the winner before declaring where he stands? In the meantime the national party is undergoing something like a constitutional crisis with the Clinton faction having agreed to all the rules and then willing to break each and every one of them until she can find some way to steal the nomination. I call it gross election fraud on their part.
May 22, '08
Whoa, whoa, whoa. You guys are getting out of hand.
It is really uncool to attack Meredith and the other undeclared super-delegates when you don't know their preferences or what they plan to do. As near as I can tell, you've imagined a scenario that makes you angry and then reacted like it's true.
Slow down. Wait to see if there's actually a problem before freaking out. And, really, screaming threats and calling names is not an effective way to convince anyone of anything.
May 22, '08
Fact is, the party elders are enabling the Hillary Clinton plan to sabotage the fall election so she can make a comeback in 2012. Now she's likening the party, and the rules she helped make and signed on to in Fl. and MI to Zimbabwe. Until her own SD supporters do an intervention on this baloney, there won't be any party unity. The impact will be felt all the way down the ticket.
May 22, '08
Regardless of whom they support, it's past time for our remaining super-delegates to declare themselves. They are the only ones who can end this. I respectfully ask that they step up and declare themselves so we can unite behind our nominee and get busy defeating John McCain. I can only imagine the pressure they've been under, but really, it's time to make that decision.
7:54 a.m.
May 22, '08
Oh how quickly the memories fade of Bradbury having been one of People-Powered Howard's most vocal supporters when he ran for Prez in 2004.
May 22, '08
Wow, you guys sound like crazy people. Johnny Gnosis, you've spoken with Meredith personally and know this to be the case? Hahaha, of course you haven't. Give it a rest already. Seriously, what will change if Oregon's automatic delegates declare themselves now or after the primary season? Let me guess, one of them will support Hillary and you can trash that person on BO?
May 22, '08
I don't know what Meredith or other Oregon SDs plan to do. But Hillary has let it be known she plans to sabotage the election by invoking the nuclear option all the way to the convention. So any delay by these SDs is simply enabling her and destroying Dem. party unity. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/05/22/compromise-in-works-to-se_n_103010.html
8:20 a.m.
May 22, '08
We're coming. Please be patient.
There's a couple of things that I need to do first, mostly finish the report that will be used to apportion the delegates between Obama and Clinton. We need numbers by congressional district, and I won't have those until tomorrow. The report will be posted on the DPO website Monday, and I'll be announcing shortly after that.
As for pressure, I'm getting phone calls and e-mails, but not feeling pressured. None of us "super" delegates are weaklings. We've been called names from all sorts of places, and whether its from posters on Blue Oregon, Willamette Week, or angry Floridians, we'll hold up just fine.
It's my birthday, so please be nice to me today. If you want to get all foamy at me and my colleagues, please wait until tomorrow.
In the meantime, we Democrats have every reason to be happy about the primary. We had a record turnout, and we're in excellent shape for November.
May 22, '08
Wayne, Thanks for the response. But while the Clinton campaign is moving toward the "nuclear option" of open conflict in the convention over rules that they made and signed on to, Dem. unity is pretty much an impossibility. And your failure to speak to this threat is not defensible.
8:47 a.m.
May 22, '08
The DNC Rules Committee meets May 31. Florida and Michigan Democrats have proposals that will be considered. Let's see what happens before we all get too excited.
May 22, '08
Wayne, Hillary herself and her campaign have confirmed they want us all to pretend that those elections actually happened and they want all the delegates from them, or else... And they will take it to the convention if they don't get what the want. We both know the DNC Rules committee and the DNC Credentials Committee are not going along with that preposterous demand. So, this is about Hillary and her ambitions. If she can't have it now, she will have it in 2012. She can appeal to the convention, and she has said she will, because the Dem. party is so sexist and so unjust.. just like "Zimbabwe." So I can only view the passivity by folks like yourself as enabling this kind of behavior as being destructive to the party and making party unity impossible.
9:11 a.m.
May 22, '08
Let me second Wayne's comment about our DNC committee people not being pushovers. I talked to Jenny Greenleaf in the Kate Brown party on election night, and she told me of her experience of having half the Democratic party luminaries, big name governors, national candidates, leave messages on her answering machine. And that she didn't bother to return their calls.
I think I'm the only person who has never campaigned Wayne, Jenny, Meredeth, Frank, or anyone else about the Presidency. I figure they get enough input as it is.
But since I'm on the subject, to me it's far more important that - regardless of nominee - Florida and Michigan are substantially punished for trying to cheat the Democratic party process. If they get away with a slap on the wrist, I guarantee it will make any meaningful calendar reform impossible to achieve. In fact, it may very well start a early schedule arms-race.
Most people get sick of this stuff after one year of it. Do we really want to push it to two?
May 22, '08
Getting people to read the delegate selection plan was almost impossible and I suspect none of us who did read the plan foresaw the improbable results of this process. However, we did approve to continue inclusion of the automatic delegates, many of whom are elected by large numbers of voters and all of whom are needed to win the election. The DNC members I know were all elected for their judgment and their commitment to democratic principles. The task we gave them when we elected them was to use their best judgment for the good of the country and that is what they should do. In the future, I hope we can remember the importance of being involved in less exciting times.
With our proportional allocation rule for delegates, a rule that I believe enabled a candidate like Obama, I can accept that some of our automatic delegates will support the Senator Clinton. There are some truly wonderful people in the party who support Senator Clinton and we need them to win this election. Nothing good can come of driving them out before the process runs its course. The key will be to follow the rules and this includes resolving the Michigan and Florida issue and not rewarding rule violations.
9:23 a.m.
May 22, '08
Happy birthday, Wayne!
9:28 a.m.
May 22, '08
Wayne says he's going to speak very soon. Petulant rants that claim it's indefensible if he doesn't do it exactly on your timetable just make you sound like an impatient toddler who's melting down because he's been told he has to wait until after dinner for his lollipop.
The situation is quite serious but the apparent assumption that Hillary is the only one acting now just because she's the one talking about it in public is certainly wrong.
There's an excellent argument to be made that our candidate needs more time to bring the party together than they'll get if there's no nominee until the convention. Despite the borderline hysteria developing in some people minds (listened to Rachel Maddow lately?) there's not nearly so good an argument that we can't afford to wait a couple more weeks until the primaries are over.
9:34 a.m.
May 22, '08
Wayne,
If observing the political sphere has taught me anything, it's that what "we all know" is just as likely to be wrong as to be right.
It is about coming together to beat the Republicans in November and Hillary needs to be a part of that.
Waxing hysterical about what "we all know" is not going to further that goal.
9:37 a.m.
May 22, '08
Sorry, my last comment was two partial comments.
The first was supposed to be "Wayne, happy birthday" and the second part that actually showed up was addressed to Bill.
9:45 a.m.
May 22, '08
I have faith that the Oregon DNC delegates (such as Meredith, Jenny Greenleaf, etc.) will be for our nominee (i.e. Obama), but the throttling of rate of publicly coming out in support is being managed by the Obama team so as to not be 'too many, too soon' which would further enrage Clinton supporters.. and they will bring this in for a soft landing.
May 22, '08
Doretta, I think you undermine your points when you simply insult people and insult their intelligence.
The point is being made that people should chill until this meeting on May 31. I disagree,May 31 may not resolve anything, because I think that there is a more malicious dynamic at play. When the Dem. party is attacked as being sexist or like "Zimbabwe" because Hillary didn't get nominated that is not helpful to any Dem. candidate. And when the intent has been expressed to take the FL/MI issue to a floor fight at the convention, which is within the rights of the Clinton Campaign, then the intent is clear. I hope the Clintonites will change course, but it doesn't seem to be the case. In the meantime, forget about unity.
Meanwhile behind the scenes here is the situation. This is the background to the threats around the nuclear option and MI/Fl, and the attack on the Dem. party as being sexist and like Zimbabwe. Al Giordano is reporting that Hillary asked for the VP slot and was turned down. The nuclear option is her response for leverage and blow back. Time magazine is giving corroborating evidence.
http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/?p=1248#comment-40654
"The Field can now confirm, based on multiple sources, something that both campaigns publicly deny: that Senator Clinton has directly told Senator Obama that she wants to be his vice presidential nominee, and that Senator Obama politely but straightforwardly and irrevocably said “no.” Obama is going to pick his own running mate based on his own criteria and vetting process."
10:07 a.m.
May 22, '08
I think I'm the only person who has never campaigned Wayne, Jenny, Meredeth, Frank, or anyone else about the Presidency. I figure they get enough input as it is.
Nah Steve, you're not the only one. I've shot the breeze with Meredith, Jenny, and Frank in the last couple of days and (I suspect) like a lot of others, limited my remarks to generalities. We get it.....
Despite the borderline hysteria developing in some people minds (listened to Rachel Maddow lately?) there's not nearly so good an argument that we can't afford to wait a couple more weeks until the primaries are over.
I'm kinda with you in disagreeing with the Good Dr. Maddow (although using the word hysteria to describe her argument yeserday might be a little over the top.
Bottom Line: Our Oregon supers have been models of good party behavior so far (not counting the electeds that came out early for both sides IMO) and I'm pretty sure that waiting until Montana, Peurto Rico, and South Dakota finish up will not sink us in the fall.
10:08 a.m.
May 22, '08
"there's not nearly so good an argument that we can't afford to wait a couple more weeks until the primaries are over. "
Having the nomination be a mathematical fait accompli before Clinton tries to make her case on the 31st is an excellent argument, IMO. She cannot be trusted one bit.
May 22, '08
Steve Packer, apportioning the delegates "enabled" Obama? It also "enabled" any other candidate who potentially could have won the nomination, e.g., John Edwards. It created the touted level playing field. The only candidate it did not enable was Clinton. Instead, we were given time to vet Hillary Clinton, and the results of that vetting have unearthed much about her character and so called experience. Under GOP rules, which the Clintons are now kicking themselves over for not having fought for, or in a national, one-day primary, Clinton indeed would have been the inevitable candidate, based on name recognition, media cooperation, and the support of the Democratic establishment. Instead, we had a real primary in which the grassroots have finally been able to have some input. So please don't speak of "enabling" as if Barack Obama has won this contest by affirmative action.
May 22, '08
The meeting of the rules committee on May 31 is painted as a cold deliberative process. I wish that were so. It's going to be public which is good. But there are reports now that the Clinton campaign is arranging to have busloads of supporters there to raise hell to pressure the DNC members to see it their way. Looks to me like it's going to be an ugly circus with shouts of sexism and unfairness. So I would like to know from Wayne and others how that is going to help with party unity.
May 22, '08
To my way of thinking this period is a great time for Obama to exercise progressive advocacy vs. McCain rather than primary politicing. Let HRC do whatever. Obama simply can act as the presumptive nominee without declaring it so. This way HRC has no quarrel when she officially loses - fair and square. HRC could cry out that Obama won't fight with her, but that will just make her appear silly.
May 22, '08
Not to put too fine a point on it, but the alternative to proportional delegate allocation is winner-take-all. I believe grass roots candidates have a better chance of success with our current system than with the previous one. Howard Dean showed us the way, but Obama has created an amazing organization to actually win. It may be a fantasy, but I sure would like to believe we can win elections without the PAC money and Obama is on the way to prove it.
11:13 a.m.
May 22, '08
Not to put too fine a point on it, but the alternative to proportional delegate allocation is winner-take-all. I believe grass roots candidates have a better chance of success with our current system than with the previous one.
Well yeah, but the sucky part is that Dems first do the very fair "proportional representation", but then follow with the extremely undemocratic super delegates who can basically nullify all the previous voting.
Once we get through this anti-democratic mess by relying on the supers to "do the right thing" it'll be time to revamp the party system to reflect the will of the primary voters..........Oh I know, what if we had an election based solely on the actual results of the primaries........a revolutionary concept, I'll admit, but I'm willing to take the risk.
11:18 a.m.
May 22, '08
One more thing:
I recall the Senior Mr. Smith pointing out a while back that party officials, (excluding the electeds) get damned few perks out of the job. A good and valid point that would lead me to support the idea that top state party leaders could bget "first dibs" on being apportioned to fill slots for their preferred candidates bsed on the popular vote outcome within the state.
May 22, '08
Obama has been doing the right thing, focusing his attack on McCain, going forward with the VP vetting process, and praising HRC and her supporters. Who hasn't been doing the right thing are the people who are supposed to be concerned with party unity and success in the fall, by sitting by and saying or doing nothing, while HRC tries to split the party further with her antics, and by doing everything possible to taint the legitimacy of the Obama nomination. She says she's taking her fight of changing the rules of nomination all the way to the convention and any "unity" in the party will be sorely damaged by that destructive effort. Meanwhile the Oregon SDs fiddle while the party burns.
11:24 a.m.
May 22, '08
Happy birthday to Wayne!
Just give me a little more time, folks. I'll be announcing very soon.
And I am very much looking forward to going back to being nobody. While it's a huge honor and a big responsibility to be a superdelegate, it isn't why I ran for the DNC. I'm not even that enamored of the whole superdelegate system, although I understand the reasons for it and am trying to do my job as best I can. I'm not necessarily feeling pressured, but I'm uncomfortable with all the attention. I'd really rather just be behind the scenes, working hard to get Democrats elected.
I would advise those who are fear-mongering to just let the process play out and keep your eyes on the prize: a Democrat in the White House, Merkley in the Senate, Schrader in District 5, and increasing majorities in the Oregon House and Senate. This is our year, and we're going to make the most of it.
May 22, '08
Jenny Greenleaf: "I would advise those who are fear-mongering to just let the process play out"
I don't consider myself one of those who are fear-mongering, but I suspect you might have been addressing me. I am glad you are going to announce soon. Fear-mongering is based on imaginings not based on reality. We have learned in this election that no tactics are off the table, including using racial polarization to marginalize your opponent ( "the hard-working white people"), or to send out surrogates like Geraldine Ferraro to play to accuse your opponent of sexist tactics and to invite women not to vote for the Democratic nominee, nor to threaten to disrupt a meeting of the DNC by sending bus-loads of supporters to appear to influence the outcome, nor to threaten to take a fight over rules to the Aug. convention to damage party unity. That's not fear-mongering, those are the facts. And yes, they do damage party unity, particularly when they are passively sanctioned by party leaders such as yourself.
May 22, '08
"I'm not even that enamored of the whole superdelegate system, although I understand the reasons for it and am trying to do my job as best I can"
Jenny, you are not the first superdelegate to say this publicly.
And I would remind everyone (as a former delegate once involved in delegate selection rule revision) that the convention is where reform of any such system starts. And this would seem a good year to have that conversation again (as in 1984 the Fairness Comm. was created, etc.).
12:07 p.m.
May 22, '08
The reason the Oregon Dems held this rally today was because our primary ended. (I was there, and it was nice to see Jeff and Steve on the same stage, flanked by Govs Roberts and Kitzhaber.) The presidential race isn't over. I encourage everyone to relax, exhale, and let it play out. Clinton will do the right thing, and beating the drum for her withdrawal before he final three contests just doesn't make sense.
Obama's the nominee and nothing will change that. Clinton's battle for Florida and Michigan will help define her campaign, and I hope she has the wisdom to recognize what's at stake--personally, if not for the party. But it doesn't do any good to get too hepped up in the meantime. By June 4 it will be a settled matter.
12:30 p.m.
May 22, '08
"Clinton will do the right thing, and beating the drum for her withdrawal before he final three contests just doesn't make sense."
You do know she's planning to have her supporters beseige the process, which is open--right?
The woman is toxic, and will do whatever she believes necessary to attempt to secure the nomination. Cutting off the debate before she ever gets the chance is a must.
12:33 p.m.
May 22, '08
Jeff, "Clinton's battle for Florida and Michigan" is an exceedingly generous way to describe it. We're not being battled for, we're being invoked by the Clinton campaign to stand as proxies for someone we didn't vote for.
On her best day, Clinton didn't win ALL of the delegates from either of those states, and it's a joke to consider what we had in Florida, for one, as any kind of a primary.
And I'll be getting, along with several thousand of my closest ideological brothers and sisters, very much in the face of my state Party to make sure that we are not being misrepresented.
The 'ongoing struggle to make Florida's votes count' is a canard, concocted from the fertile imagination of the brightest minds of Team Clinton in Florida. It's not a reflection of the Democratic electorate in Florida at large in any way, shape or form.
May 22, '08
@ Jeff
I don't know where you get this naive idea that Hillary Clinton will do the right thing. The NY Times seems to indicate otherwise. She's now claiming it's all about civil rights and freeing the slaves. This is disgusting. This is not about party unity.
"On the trail and in interviews, she raised a new battle cry of determination, likening her struggle for these delegates to the nation’s historic struggles to free the slaves and grant women the right to vote."
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/22/us/politics/22florida.html?_r=1&ref=us&oref=slogin
12:52 p.m.
May 22, '08
Bill,
I didn't insult your intelligence, I remarked on your behavior.
The reality is that if Hillary chooses to hand the election to McCain, she may well have the power to do so. That power derives from her influence with her supporters and potential supporters. That's the core issue at this point.
No matter what happpens, like the Republicans, the Democrats will not have an official nominee until the convention. I agree with you, May 31 won't magically change that and neither will the end of the primaries. However, declarations by the superdelegates won't either. If every single superdelegate declares their intention to vote for Obama tomorrow, Hillary can still claim that she's won the popular vote, they've made a mistake and she's fighting on until the convention with the intention of changing their minds.
The best, and quite possibly only, way to win in November is to convince Hillary it's in her best interest to cede the nomination and support Obama. The superdelegates are a part of that, but only one part.
If FL and MI come into the rules meeting with proposals for seating their delegates that the party can live with that will cut Hillary off at the pass on that one. Once the primaries are over then everyone has voted and that's also no longer an argument.
Again, my point is that the superdelegates are not the silver bullet that you are looking for. There is no silver bullet. The superdelegates need to declare their intentions in concert with the work of sorting out FL and MI, negotiating with Hillary and continuing to win over the voters.
May 22, '08
Steve Parker, I'm sorry if I misinterpreted your use of "enable". You too seem to think that the system we used this year was preferable to winner-take-all. This was the first time the system was used, and as in our mail-in ballot history, a lot of wrinkles will need to be ironed out.
It appears that some of you have connections to the national party, e.g. the superdelegates commenting here, and one big change the party needs to make a priority is not allowing Republicans to freely cross over and vote in our primaries. I know I am preaching to the choir in Oregon because we don't allow it. But the Republicans have played with our heads this year to an unbearable extent and balled up the works in states which allow it. No state party can be forced to do so, but I hope there will be a discussion on the damage which can arise when Republicans are allowed into our primaries.
1:25 p.m.
May 22, '08
naschkatzehussei, our methods for selecting a presidential candidate certainly do need an overhaul.
I've posted here before that I'm in favor of rotating regional primaries, but it's going to take some doing to make that happen.
The DNC and RNC can make rules, but it's state parties and state legislatures that make the decisions about how and when elections/caucuses are held. We have a complete hodge-podge of open and closed primaries, caucuses, and the Texas hybrid. Each state is attached to their way of doing things and New Hampshire and Iowa will fight to preserve their first-in-nation status.
I wish the DNC could fix it, but it can't do it alone.
May 22, '08
Doretta: "Again, my point is that the superdelegates are not the silver bullet that you are looking for."
Your personal insults as an attempt to denigrate an appropriate argument are not well received and do undermine your argument.
I'm not expecting any "silver bullet". What would be helpful from people like Wayne Kinney and Jenny Greenleaf is a demonstration to Hillary Clinton and her campaign that her tactics are divisive and hurt the party, and her announced intention to portray her fight as a "civil rights" cause and continue the fight to the convention is bogus and destructive. By speaking out against these tactics that direclty undermine the party and the nominee and by announcing their support for the party's nominee they can show her that her destructive efforts are without support.
May 22, '08
Back to the "Unity" meeting--how did it go? Everyone kiss and make up? Did Merkley or Novick say anything to help us bitter Novick supporters get on board the unity train?
1:54 p.m.
May 22, '08
Steve and Jeff were mutually complimentary. Steve gave a great speech and said he would do everything he could to help defeat Gordon Smith. He's a big man to do that.
I certainly hope we haven't heard the last of Steve running for office! His talent is undeniable and he has a lot to offer.
Kari was there, so maybe he'll give a full report. I need to get back to answering my hate mail:-).
May 22, '08
WASHINGTON—Presidential hopefuls John McCain (R-AZ), Barack Obama (D-IL), and Hillary Clinton (D-NY) announced Monday their plans to form what many Beltway observers have already dubbed the "2008 Nightmare Ticket," a calculated move that political analysts say offers voters the worst of both worlds.
May 22, '08
This thread doesn't feel very unifying.
Am I the only one who thinks we may as well kiss florida goodbye in the general if we don't count their primary votes? Won't it be bad for Obama (and Ds in general) come november?
May 22, '08
@ Katy
Katy, you know that is a bogus argument. There was no primary vote! Many many people didn't bother because they knew the primary wasn't legal. There was no campaigning. To change the rules now is simply a lie. Right now, if the Quinnipiac poll is correct it would be dead even between HRC and Obama. To change the rules that Hillary negotiated and signed on to, agreeing that there would be no election and no campaign, is the divisive thing to do. And it's not going to happen. For a bunch of Hillary supporters to show up in buses to disrupt the DNC rules meeting on the 31st, that's divisive. For Hillary to go around making speeches trying to destroy the legitimacy of the nominating process and the nominee, that's divisive. And for you to come on this forum and support such a lie, that's divisive.
According to the NY Times today she intends to perpetuate this lie all the way to the convention, fighting the very rules she negotiated and signed on to. That's divisive and destructive. I'm sorry our own party leaders here in Oregon don't have the courage to call her on it publicly. The Dem. party loses credibility when it can't even be faithful to its own policies.
May 22, '08
Clarification: The Q-poll I cited above pertains just to Florida.
May 22, '08
If Wyden endorses Senator Clinton, I'm going to need more foil for my hat.
May 22, '08
Bill, It wasn't even an argument, it was a question. Yeah, I get it, you hate Hillary Clinton. Now, back to my question - what will the Democratic party do about Florida come November? Isn't anyone worried about how the voters there are feeling after all this? Why did that make you so angry? I'm baffled.
3:12 p.m.
May 22, '08
"Am I the only one who thinks we may as well kiss florida goodbye in the general if we don't count their primary votes? Won't it be bad for Obama (and Ds in general) come november?"
Where's the evidence Florida Democrats care or even know enough about it to get mad? States have not been seated before; I don't think it caused the downfall of the party.
May 22, '08
I think real unity might be found by focusing on some of the local and regional issues at hand. Working together to protect the 5th Congressional district and supporting local house races to maintain a Democratic majority would be well worth the effort. We shouldn't forget. This is Oregon after all--always one step away from closing our public schools, libraries etc..
That's better than watching the national Democratic Party, full of money and forgotten values, getting torn apart along the seams of the educational divide within its ranks.
3:25 p.m.
May 22, '08
I'll take a shot at this one Katy. What I think is going to happen is that The Party Kidz are ok with having all of the remaining primaries go forward.
They seem also willing to let Florida go in more or less as is, with maybe some of the Florida Supers being punished for their clear and open eyed defiance of party rules that all candidates had agreed to honor. If I were in charge, I'd decredential every Florida Super that had any hand in subverting the rules, while holding the rest of the delegates and the Florida voters blameless
Michigan is going to be tougher as there was only one candidate on the ballot and she got 60% to 40% "undecided". (and yes I am aware that it was Obama supporters who refused to accomodate the "do over" idea).
Once the Rules committee has battled through the Clinton funded Insta-mob that has been harrassing the Party HQ and will be ramped up next week, and come to some conclusion, the supers in the US Congress will declare enmasse for Obama, if Clinton tries to drag this thing to the convention.
That's my best understanding of the news I've read.
May 22, '08
I am not too worried about Florida and Michigan. My prediction is that the rules committee re-enstates half and then allocates them just barely in favor of clinton maybe by 5 or 10 delegates. Just a prediction here but it seems a fairly reasonable outcome to 1: Still have some type of punishment, 2:Get the delegates seated and 3: Not seat them in a way that would make the Obama folks pissy because they don't feel it is "fair" to their candidate. It's not a perfect solution but it is a solution that is quick, to the point and relatively clean. As far as the Oregon Sup's go, take as much time as you want. I am guessing that some of them are just now getting over their hangovers from Tuesday night and are now trying to catch up on all of the work they have fallen behind on in the last week or so. Clinton giving this thing up before June 3rd is a pipe dream and Oregon's Supah-7 making endorsements aren't going to change that.
3:31 p.m.
May 22, '08
TJ, John, and Bill, I stand by my prediction. I think she's playing out the thread and this will all be over in early June. I know she's gone a wee bit hard the last couple days, but I think it's the last gasp. Seriously.
May 22, '08
Thanks Pat and Marshall, this is something I've been thinking about and trying to understand for a while. I'm thinking more in terms of the general though. So far I've heard one story about a woman from Florida who was pissed at the Obama campaign and the DNC and I'm simply wondering how many more of those types of voters are out there. How many are feeling so let down by their own state pary and the dnc that they're willing to sit this general out? To me it seems troublesome for the Ds come November, just wondering how that can be resolved before the general.
May 22, '08
Thanks very much, Wayne and Jenny, for your responses (happy birthday, Wayne!). It's great to hear you will be announcing your decision soon. The escalating rhetoric from Hillary is worrisome, but I will try to keep breathing deeply. Thank you for your service!
May 22, '08
The polls have consistently shown that Florida is in the GOP column regardless of who is the Dem. Nominee. If McCain picks Crist, then it will be even more a lock.
Some new "battleground states will be in play however. Obama is polling better in Colorado. If he picks Webb as his VP, he will do well in Va. And while trailing in Ohio, that state is still a toss-up.
The end result is that Obama can win even without Floridas and Ohio. Michigan is much more important, however.
May 22, '08
Hmm...Florida's a swing state.
May 22, '08
@ Katy
Your response suggesting it's all about my "hatred" of Hillary is simply another way of marginalizing what I say. Nope.. I don't care about Hillary. She has lost her relevance only in that she is still a fizzling force in our national politics, but still potent enough to do damage. I resent and oppose her destructive tactics at a time especially when our nation is in crisis and we are poised to embark on another more devastating war with Iran, a war which she seems disposed to have.
Regarding the likely settlement with Fl and MI... I think the DNC Rules committee will likely come up with something that is a compromise and workable but it won't satisfy Hillary and her supporters. (Come Nov. the Fl. voters are going to care less about the fake Dem. primary.) Hillary has her supporters worked up now to where accepting anything short her full demands is not doable and a reason to take it all the way to August. ( Rachael Maddow has it right.) Her rhetoric and the actions of the past two days tells me she wants to exert power as a spoiler if she can't be the nominee.
My anger is mostly directed at the wimps who are held up as party leaders who could shut her down, but won't, out of the mistaken view she is a rational person who has a grip on her own self interest and will come around to reason. The campaign has proven otherwise. And the same party leadership equally seems to have no rational sense of its own self interest nor a willingness to act decisively in protecting it.
May 22, '08
Bill if she's lost her relevance for you why write a 3 paragraph long post about her? Take a valium.
May 22, '08
Florida also held a straw poll that everyone knew wasn't part of the primary process, including the Democrats who stayed home or voted for a Republican. Changing the rules after the game has been played to favor the candidate who is advocating the rule change is called cheating or corruption in any other sport.
That said, there may be a rules change on the 31st to seat all the delegates with no voting power, and there may even be a rules change at the convention to give partial or full voting power, granted that it doesn't overturn the choice that the primary voters made. But even if that doesn't happen, Obama will be competitive. He isn't the one who made the rules, after all. Hillary's 12 supporters of the 30-member panel voted unanimously to strip cheating delegates of their votes, while the only dissenting vote was cast by an Obama supporter.
A Quinnipiac poll earlier this month showed Obama just one point shy of McCain in Florida, 43 to 42. Like I said, Obama will be competitive.
5:07 p.m.
May 22, '08
Don't worry, Katy. Bill and I seem to be doing much of the squabbling and we both support the same candidate.
Bill,
You accused the Oregon SDs of "fiddling while the party burns" but my "silver bullet" comment is a personal attack? I think your standards may be a little skewed.
As near as I can tell you are calling for the Oregon SDs to start a public fight with Hillary Clinton before the rules committee meets and before the primaries are over and your justification for that is promoting party unity. I'm hoping they have a better idea.
One of two things is going on, in my opinion, either Hillary is suffering from campaign myopia and is willing to bet her entire future career on a nearly non-existent chance of becoming POTUS or she's turning up the heat to benefit her negotiations. If it's the former, that's a complete disaster and a couple more weeks for her friends to privately help her come to her senses couldn't do much harm. If she's in negotiation mode, I don't see the SDs starting a public fight as a useful tactic for our side.
I do understand your frustration with Hillary's rhetoric these days. It's bogus on a lot of levels. I recommend hilzoy's post today on Obsidian Wings on the depth of the absurdity of comparing Florida to Zimbabwe. It certainly is making plenty of people nervous about her intentions. I hope she doesn't really think that if she persists in her current shenanigans that she has a chance of winning the election in either 2008 or 2012.
Despite the fact that I'm an enthusiastic Obama supporter, had Hillary won the majority of pledged delegates I'd have strongly supported her in November over McCain. If she doesn't similarly begin strongly supporting Barack Obama for President starting sometime in June, she'll never have a shot at my vote or my support for anything again. I'd guess I'm far from alone in that--I suspect the damage she'd suffer among African-Americans would be enough to make her pretty well unelectable all by itself.
May 22, '08
For clarity, I probably should have struck the "also" from my comment. The contest Florida had was a straw poll, and that was the established penalty before Florida Democrats unanimously voted to break the rules, and that was the procedure voters operated under when they decided whether to vote in the straw poll.
Also, both Clinton and Obama signed pledges not to participate, else they were to be stripped of all delegates from all contests. An election that prevents free speech or assembly by the candidates is not a legitimate election, and is nothing we should be establishing a precedent for by making it the deciding factor in our nominating process.
May 22, '08
Katy - Hahahaha! Laugh at yourself. You might think I don't Meredith is a Clinton supporter, but I do. And so do you. "Hahahaha!!!"
May 22, '08
And Wyden will NOT be endorsing Clinton. He has endorsed the state winner every time and he will this time too. I'm guessing he is being slow out of respect for JK. Wyden isn't dumb.
5:40 p.m.
May 22, '08
I have to say that Katy probably sees and talks to Meredith more than many of us around this blog.
May 22, '08
Doretta:"my "silver bullet" comment is a personal attack? I think your standards may be a little skewed.
As near as I can tell you are calling for the Oregon SDs to start a public fight with Hillary Clinton before the rules committee meets and before the primaries are over and your justification for that is promoting party unity. I'm hoping they have a better idea."
<hr/>Many SDs around the country have done their endorsements and for the need for unity around the party nominee, and backed the DNC rules for counting delegates. To back the Dem. party and its nominee is not divisive but unifying. They don't even have to mention Hillary.
My criticism of the party leaders ("fiddling while Rome burns.) was not an ad hominem attack. It was a criticism of their inaction and its consequences. Your attack here below is an ad hominem personal attack, intended to denigrate and marginalize. "impatient toddler?" Surely you know the difference.-
"Petulant rants that claim it's indefensible if he doesn't do it exactly on your timetable just make you sound like an impatient toddler who's melting down because he's been told he has to wait until after dinner for his lollipop."
May 22, '08
Jenni - exactly right! That's how she knows!
May 22, '08
Arianna Huffington makes the same case. Hillary is no longer relevant, the Super Ds are the problem. She calls them out on their irresponsibility.
Stop Yelling at Hillary to Stand Down and Start Yelling at the Superdelegates to Stand Up
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/arianna-huffington/stop-yelling-at-hillary-t_b_103135.html
May 22, '08
JG, I do laugh at myself quite often. I have no idea who Meredith, or any of the other SDs (except of course those who've publicly declared)are going to support. I can't imagine how you know? Care to fill us all in? Seems like there are quite a few BO readers who are about falling out of their chairs to find out.
7:20 p.m.
May 22, '08
Katy,
What about all the voters in Washington State who attended Washington's caucuses who don't get counted in Clinton's math when she says she "leads" in the popular vote? Will they vote for her this fall? How about all the Iowa, Nevada and Maine voters who attended caucuses in their states who don't get counted in Clinton's math when she says she "leads" in the popular vote? Won't it be bad for Clinton (and the Ds) in the general if Hillary Clinton refuses to acknowledge the votes that got cast in each of those states in the primary when she totals up the popular vote?
May 22, '08
Geez Louise, my once very high opinion of Hillary Clinton just keeps slipping. Now the Democratic nomination process is like the Zimbabwean election? Note to Senator Clinton: Zimbabwe has had effectively one-party rule, with cosmetic elections, for three decades. Those elections, cosmetic though they are, are nonetheless replete with fraud, voter intimidation, and violence. Senator Clinton, please tell me again just how those elections in Zimbabwe compare to the Democratic presidential race circa 2008. Go into some details, please, cuz I just don't get it. Thanks.
As for why the party elders won't have a nice chat with Senator Clinton, this is no mystery: note her surname. They won't have a chat with her for the same reason that she was the presumptive nominee (a year ago) in the first place: her surname. Hillary Clinton is a very smart and accomplished woman, but if she had had those same smarts and accomplishments without ever having resided at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, she would likely never have been a candidate in the first place.
There are many other talented, accomplished Democratic women office-holders besides Hillary Clinton. I truly do not understand why so many people's hopes have been projected onto her, nor why so much angst has been focused on her. She's not the great white hope, the great female hope, or the great anything hope. She's another flawed human like the rest of us.
7:29 p.m.
May 22, '08
Hillary is no longer relevant...
Mere assertions on your part are not enough.
I made the case for why I think Hillary is the key factor in the mix. You haven't refuted any of it. In fact, your posts seem to indicate you are quite concerned about her current behavior.
Hillary has a bunch of devoted followers and how she approaches November is likely to determine how many of them look at the race between John McCain and Barack Obama. It's obvious that you don't believe that it's impossible for the Dems to lose in November, otherwise you wouldn't be using rhetoric such as "while the party burns" etc. You also haven't explained how the Oregon SDs declaring their preference would shut Hillary down nor why it has to happen this week rather than next week.
May 22, '08
Greg, I'm assuming Obama wins the primary and he's looking to the swing state of Florida for votes. We are talking about an entire state here. I wish we were talking about a state that always goes Democratic but we're not. I'm thinking a whole lotta Ds are pissed off that their votes didn't count and won't vote in the general. I'm not saying that's a good thing, I'm wondering what we, as a Party, are going to do about that after the Primary? How do we make the voters in that state feel like we appreciate their input in this historic election? I understand that folks are using this question to bash Clinton - but I think it's a serious question and something we all need to start thinking about.
7:49 p.m.
May 22, '08
Katy,
Don't you think that if Hillary Clinton were to quit, say to the world she got beaten fair and square in this contest, and gave a full throated endorsement of Barack Obama AND the FL and MI delegations were seated along reasonable lines, e.g., FL as it stands and MI with 73 for Clinton and the 55 uncommitteds to Obama, would be enough to heal their pain? If so, I think this can all be wrapped up in the next five minutes. If that's not enough, what more would you have the Democratic Party do?
May 22, '08
Well, here's today's news about Florida:
Democrats file suit to seat Florida delegates
"Florida's history of discrimination against African Americans should force the national Democratic Party to count all of the state's delegates at its national convention, a federal lawsuit filed Thursday claims."
And so on.
8:04 p.m.
May 22, '08
This lawsuit is filed by Florida Senate Democratic Leader Steve Geller.
Geller voted yes for the bill that moved the date of the primary: http://tinyurl.com/6k93wz
Maybe Geller should have thought of this when he voted yes on the bill (there were only 2 voting "no").
(Link will take you to the Florida State Legislature page on HB 537)
8:14 p.m.
May 22, '08
Not only that, Geller LAUGHED about it. There's video of the "debate" out there. The Democrats knew exactly what they were doing. It's shameful what they're trying to say now.
The people in Florida don't give a rat's ass about delegates to the convention. Can they vote in November? Yes. Will the overwhelming majority of them vote for Obama? Yes. Do the Democrats HAVE to win a state they haven't won in a long while to win the election? It would sure help, but no.
Right now Obama is even with McCain in Ohio. McCain is for NAFTA. Obama will not have an issue the 2nd time around being against NAFTA. Pissing and moaning over something Florida's leadership did to itself is unproductive.
Shut Hillary down now, superdelegates. There only need to be 40-50 or so to do it out of over 200; aren't there PLEOs being assigned as add-ons before May 31? Mostly Obama add-ons, I think? He definitely only needs 60 or so to have the nomination wrapped up.
May 22, '08
Katy, you wrote:
a whole lotta Ds are pissed off that their votes didn't count and won't vote in the general. I'm not saying that's a good thing, I'm wondering what we, as a Party, are going to do about that after the Primary? How do we make the voters in that state feel like we appreciate their input in this historic election?
Do we actually know about lots of pissed off alienated Democrats? Lots of spin, but how can this be known? And I don't mean an interview with Betty Sue in a beauty shop and Jim Bob in a barber shop somewhere.
Making voters feel "appreciated": hm. I would think that has to come first and foremost from the candidates themselves and from the people who actually set up the primary. Some of these, at least, arguably mooned the electorate in favor of...well, I'm not sure exactly, some wacky perception of gaining influence. And instead we wind up with relative backwaters (population-wise) like Kentucky and Oregon getting lots of attention, and Florida's "influence" being reduced to what happens in a smoke-filled room (and maybe, once again, a court of law). Pretty damned ironic.
You also mentioned that the Florida situation is being used as a cudgel against Hillary Clinton. Maybe. And she is most certainly using it as a cudgel against not only Obama but against the entire Democratic Party. The longer this goes on, the more absurd statements HRC makes comparing the Democratic nomination process to a Zimbabwean election, the more I come around to thinking that Hillary Clinton really DOES just feel entitled to the nomination, and that she's doing the enraged-jilted-lover bit: if I can't have the "prize", then by god, nobody can!
What I see Clinton doing with regard to the Florida situation is all of a piece with her pig-headedness about Iraq: She refused to apologize for her vote to authorize the war (in contrast to John Edwards), and turned that refusal into some sort of twisted matter of "principle". In Florida, she refuses to acknowledge the fact that she, just like Obama, agreed ahead of time to boycott the Florida primary, and now she has twisted that lack of acknowledgment around, made wacky claims about her "popular vote lead" based on a deliberate misreading of the history, and now seemingly threatens to disrupt the convention if she doesn't get her way.
Hillary Clinton is a talented woman, but nobody owes her the presidential nomination. It's not hers to demand.
May 22, '08
Here's the video of Geller openly mocking the Democratic party and its "sanctions." After smiling and saying he would show the very video I've linked to to the Democratic Party to prove they "tried" not to break the rules, he then laughs at a confused speaker asking whether he's really urging a nay, replying with a syrupy "Oh, no sir! We really, really want this, don't we?" To which the speaker replies, "I understand, please don't throw me into the bramble bush."
9:38 p.m.
May 22, '08
Katy,
Your question is a serious one, but I wonder if it doesn't have two sides. Obama has a lot of support in Florida too, and as the commment by John Dunagan above may illustrate (he seems to be a Floridian), if the handling of Florida is seen by them to be manipulated unfairly to Clinton's benefit, when they were told the primary wouldn't count and they were denied the opportunity to campaign full-bore with the backing of the national Obama campaign, they may feel that their real voice is being silenced even if the Florida votes are counted.
As far as I can see, the best answer to your question probably is Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. If they go out after it's all over to Florida and says to their supporters there: This whole situation is messed up, with enough blame to be spread around, but the fact of the matter is that what I want to happen for the country, the reasons I ran, and what I believe you wanted in supporting me, is much likelier and results will be much closer with a Democratic president than a Republican one, it would make a large difference.
If Hillary somehow gets the nomination, under current circumstances, your Florida problem is going to be much bigger, on a national scale. Just as genuine, just as serious. As much as Clinton supporters want to make the argument that it's so close that if the supers decide Hillary has the better chance in November, we should all accept that, how realistic is it to expect that to happen?
Consider if the shoe were on the other foot. If Hillary were leading in the ways Barack leads now, and the supers handed the nomination to him, how would her backers react? How would you? Some of the Clinton supporters are upset or concerned or whatever enough to be threatening to stay home or vote McCain if she doesn't get the nomination when she's behind in the ways she is. How would they (or you) react if the supers decided in their wisdom to go for Obama, if she were ahead in the ways he is?
You know the answer as well as I do. Why should Obama supporters be expected to be any different?
Even if Barack Obama were to take one for the team and go out as hard as he could for Hillary Clinton under those circumstances, I don't know how much he could swing it. Hillary's "more electable" arguments all depend on all the Obama supporters coming along. Highly questionable, to say the least.
I hope Hillary understands this. The Zimbabwe quote is worrisome. (Apart from being bizarre in deeper ways, at the most superficial level, what Mugabe is doing, demanding a runoff based on post-facto rule changes, is actually more similar to what the Clinton campaign wants than anything the other way around. Not that either Clinton or Obama is remotely like Mugabe or in a remotely similar position.)
I like Pat's idea of specifically punishing superdelegates who colluded in the legislature with breaking the rules. That also maybe should be put into future rules: require that Democrats in states where Republicans control the legislature and try to monkey with the D rules to cause trouble fight it as best they can, but hold them harmless provided they do that.
May 22, '08
I don't really buy the disingenuous concern trolling above. Florida voters aren't going to be thinking in Nov. about the DNC meeting on May 31. They are going to be thinking about the cost of food and gasoline, and the continuing cost in lives and money of the war in Iraq. And I don't really believe MI/Fl decision by the DNC is going to change anything drastically. They will be sure not to arrive at at decision that tilts the thing one way or another. But the part that is objectionable is the disturbing rhetoric. It tells me that Hillary is going all out to sabotage the fall election and provide every opportunity for the Geraldine Ferraros of this world to vote against our nominee. It is also notable that she met today in private with Mr. Geller, the clown that is sueing the Dem. Party. Hillary is burning her bridges.("hard-working white people," "Zimbabwe") Where she intends to go after this is a puzzlement. She has no base outside of the party. Unless she's competing to be McCain's running mate.
May 23, '08
http://blogs.tampabay.com/buzz/2008/03/by-adam-c-smith.html
May 23, '08
Katy, first of all, it's pretty clear to me from your always-civil comments over the weeks that you are sincere and definite not engaging in "concern trolling".
Second, please use the HTML tags to link to web sources; the instructions are just below the window where you type your remarks in teh first place.
Third, from the poll mentioned in your link:
"If there’s one thing that this survey says is you have to acknowledge the Jan. 29 primary on some level," said pollster Tom Eldon. "You really can’t say the Florida primary was a non-event to voters. It was a non-event to Howard Dean according to the rules of the DNC.”
There's a case to be made for that argument, indeed, but also a case to be made for meting out penalties as the Florida party was advised would apply up front.
There are lots of things weird, if not wrong or misguided, about the way we conduct primaries in the US. But how in the world do you justify after-the-fact rule changes? I certainly hope that after the drama and trauma of 2008, the Democratic Party will reconsider the entire nomination process; emphasis on the word after.
Some people argue that a national primary is the only democratic way to pick a candidate, because it obviates the claims that one state is more important than another, and prevents a repeat of the Florida/Michigan "me first" fiasco.
Other people argue that something like our present method is best, because the prolonged campaign serves as a sort of winnowing process, sorting out the "best" candidates from the "worst".
If there were a national primary, would we simply pick the top vote-getter to be the nominee? Suppose that top vote-getter got, say, 25% in a field of 7 or 8 candidates? Would that be a good way to pick a candidate? Would we have instant runoffs of some sort, with voters indicating their 2nd and 3rd choices, say, and candidates kicked off the bottom of the list until a winner finally emerged?
<h2>NONE of the present angst and drama would exist if the race had not developed the way it has: two strong candidates making compelling arguments and having committed supporters. Those super-delegates wanted to be the icing on the cake metaphorically; they didn't want to be referees.</h2>