Democratic Debate - Most Intractable Problem
Jeff Alworth
The Democrats just finished up a debate on NPR (it ran from 11 to one today), and the final question, which came from a caller, was instructive. He asked the candidates to describe the one issue they were uncertain what to do about. Generally those kinds of questions provoke pablum, but in this case, the candidates actually gave serious answers. Surprisingly, they were all different--and therefore instructive. I missed Dodd's, which was about education, and I will skip Gravel's (for obvious reasons). This is what the other candidates said (in the order they spoke and from memory--sorry if I don't get them exactly right):
- Hillary Clinton: how to clean up the foreign policy mess left by Bush and Cheney and rebuilding the US's status and relationships.
- Barack Obama: how to address the increasingly dangerous consequences of global warming, which seem to be getting worse more quickly than we expected.
- Joe Biden: how to manage competition in global trade, balancing the needs of our workers against the realities of a global marketplace.
- John Edwards: how to restore democracy by returning power to individuals after consolidation by forces like corporations.
- Dennis Kucinich: whether, once he's president, to hold Bush and Cheney responsible for the crimes they committed in office.
Governance isn't just about having the right answers to all the questions. Ultimately, these candidates will prioritize issues that mean the most to them. This question seemed to reveal the inner interest of each candidate and where they'd place their attention--and they all went in different directions.
Your thoughts?
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1:27 p.m.
Dec 4, '07
Will have to listen to the debate clips when I get home from work this evening to have an informed opnion or thought on the debate.
Dec 4, '07
These stated uncertainties are a common thread of concern among all democrats and liberals, in general. I think that the question, along with the answers serves to humanize the candidates.
However, I would like to see those candidates in Congress to act with more certainty to prevent further damage while Bush is still in office. The measure of many of these candidates is not just what they will do when in office, but what they have done during the Bush tenure.
Dec 4, '07
Interesting question and even more interesting answers. I'm glad to read this.
2:18 p.m.
Dec 4, '07
Did Richardson not join in the NPR goodness?
Dec 4, '07
Did Richardson not join in the NPR goodness?
I understand Richardson had to attend a funeral instead.
2:53 p.m.
Dec 4, '07
Nope, no Bill. Sorry I didn't mention it. I could channel him for an answer if you like. Something like...
"The thing I don't understand is why the only candidate with executive experience isn't getting more attention in this race!"
Dec 4, '07
Hillary Clinton: how to clean up the foreign policy mess left by Bush and Cheney and rebuilding the US's status and relationships.
Why is anyone uncertain about how to do this? She should just do what her husband did, as should any Democrat.
Barack Obama: how to address the increasingly dangerous consequences of global warming, which seem to be getting worse more quickly than we expected.
Again, we know what we need to do. Alternative energy sources. More conservation. Eliminate excessive dependence on the internal combustion engine. Ending our dependence on Saudi kings, Iranian Mullahs, and Latin American "Bolivarian Socialist" is a no-brainer too.
Joe Biden: how to manage competition in global trade, balancing the needs of our workers against the realities of a global marketplace.
My favorite issue. Too bad Joe Biden doesn't have a chance. And the BIG THREE in this race have certainty on this issue too - the certainty of demagoguery - the certainty that the Republicans have on illegal immigration. The certainty of ERROR.
John Edwards: how to restore democracy by returning power to individuals after consolidation by forces like corporations.
Sounds like an answer William Jennings Bryan would have given. If William Jennings Bryan were a 21st century Southern blow-dried huckster.
Dennis Kucinich: whether, once he's president, to hold Bush and Cheney responsible for the crimes they committed in office.
They're bad politicians, not criminals. Bush and Cheney are best forgotten, after most of their policies are reversed or discarded. I can see why Kucinich is a favorite of the loony left.
And the saddest part of all this for the state of our nation?
All of these candidates would get my vote over any of the Republicans, except if it were Kucinich vs. McCain, and that ain't gonna happen.
Our only hope is that, if Clinton, Obama, or Edwards are elected, that their economic populist demagoguery turns out to be fake and they follow the sensible policies we had between 1993 and 2001.
4:12 p.m.
Dec 4, '07
Richardson was attending the funeral of a Korean War soldier whose remains he helped bring back from North Korea earlier this year.
I'm not a fan of his but as excuses go this one is about as respectable as they get, IMHO.
I missed the first half of the debate and so I don't know what, if any, were the responses by the other candidates to why Richardson wasn't attending. But I do hope they were respectful and graceous about why he chose the funeral over political campaigning. If not then I'd like to know who wasn't so I can better understand who I don't want to be my next president.
Dec 4, '07
why won't you say what gravel said? it doesn't seem obvious to me...
6:45 p.m.
Dec 4, '07
UPO, I think you mistake the policy solution for the implementation. Single payer healthcare is an easy policy answer; getting it accomplished less so. Convincing other countries we're not half-wit cowboys to be feared isn't an easy task. Nor is addressing global warming even if, as you seem to think, the science is a sure thing (like Obama, I fear it will be worse than we expected).
Care to identify what populist demagoguery the Dems are up to? Real lefty populism embraces protectionism, the consolidation of power with the state and people, and the rejection of international markets. So far as I can tell, the only hint of leftism among this group is a reluctance to join in free trade agreements that gut labor and environmental standards and weaken labor at home. If that's what you think "demagoguery" amounts to, I hope you get it.
Petrichor, I didn't write Gravel's comment down because he's a comedy candidate. Sure, he was a senator back when I was one (leaving office when Reagan arrived), but he hasn't bothered to raise any money or hire any staff. He shouldn't even have been invited--if you want people to take you seriously, you have to take your candidacy seriously.
7:47 p.m.
Dec 4, '07
I don't think I can agree about Gravel being a comedy candidate. He has certainly eschewed the conventional wisdom on how a serious campaign ought to be run, and as a result doesn't appear to have the proverbial snowball's chance in hades of winning. But he has consistently given serious answers to serious questions at every opportunity.
I don't believe that Gravel is making a serious bid for the Presidency. But neither do I believe that comedy is what he's about. I think he's deadly earnest about what he's trying to do.
Foolish perhaps, but admirable IMHO.
7:51 p.m.
Dec 4, '07
"Sure, he was a senator back when I was one"
You were a Senator? Wow!
:)
12:50 a.m.
Dec 5, '07
Guess Jeff makes Obama a piker in the youthful ambition department.
Jeff, thanks for your excellently concise reply to Urban Planning Ostentator's nonsense.
12:51 a.m.
Dec 5, '07
Interesting that no one said immigration reform -- though I guess that was one of the three main topics?
1:32 a.m.
Dec 5, '07
Loony left, personal responsibility crowd, call it what you will.
Starting a war against another country which results in the deaths of tens of thousands -- if not hundreds of thousands -- of people and results in an average debt of more then $3,000 to each and every American goes a little bit beyond the range of "bad politician". That's negligence and incompetence if it was done because they were too stupid to know better and it's willful criminality if it was done on the basis of intentional deceit. In either case, they're potential war criminals under international law, just as Saddam Hussein was a war criminal for his invasion of Kuwait.
If GOP presidents could stop being such failures, maybe they could get through one administration without a bunch of their people going to jail.
Dec 5, '07
My family bought me one of those Hillary Voodoo dolls yesterday. It pretty much says it all about my attitude regarding this election.
I just want to vote for a candidate that has a chance to win -- any candidate will do. And as long as the Dems don't nominate her, I'll get my chance to cast a meaningful vote.
Maybe I'm being irrational, but I don't see that lady as a Democrat. I don't see her as deserving my vote. Frankly, for all his war mongering, I prefer McCain.
Dec 5, '07
* Hillary Clinton: how to clean up the foreign policy mess left by Bush and Cheney and rebuilding the US's status and relationships. * Barack Obama: how to address the increasingly dangerous consequences of global warming, which seem to be getting worse more quickly than we expected. * Joe Biden: how to manage competition in global trade, balancing the needs of our workers against the realities of a global marketplace. * John Edwards: how to restore democracy by returning power to individuals after consolidation by forces like corporations. * Dennis Kucinich: whether, once he's president, to hold Bush and Cheney responsible for the crimes they committed in office.</I
I think the order people answered matters. No one wants to say "me too" - although that probably says something about a candidate as well.
I also think these answers reflect how focused on being president people are. There are lots of problems in the world, but there are only a few where the President has responsibility for figuring out how to fix them.
Global warming is certainly a serious problem. But the President is not responsible for figuring out how to solve it. Obama's answer does not reflect someone who has seriously considered their actual role as President. The President's role is pretty easy, follow the science and support policies that reduce greenhouse emissions. The complexity is in the science and the difficulties for all of us in changing our behavior.
"Restoring democracy" is an issue of policy wonks and politicians. That doesn't make it unimportant, but again it is not something the President is going to be able to solve. To the extent you want to engage that problem, you are probably better off working to strengthen non-governmental democratic institutions rather than running for President. Again the President has a role in solving the problem, but it is limited. For one thing, whoever gets elected, the President reflects and serves the current power structure. We can hardly look to that office for leadership in challenging that structure.
Managing world trade competition is a serious issue that the President could provide leadership to. And I think it really is one that is intractable. Whether the President can actually do anything about it is questionable (see comments on power structure above). But it is a place where having a President who tried to address it would be engcouraging.
Clinton addressed the issue everyone should have chosen. Anyone who thinks cleaning up the mess Bush has created is either easy or the steps are clear is fooling themselves. I think this probably reflects someone who is getting ahead of themselves. Clinton is actually reflecting on the difficulties of being President, rather than focused on getting to be President.
What I find interesting is none of the candidates really addressed what I think is the most difficult issue the United States faces, the growing disparity between the successful wealthy and a sinking middle and working class. How do we hold together a democratic society in which increasing numbers of people are employed figuratively flipping burgers while others are doing quantum mechanics. I am not sure the President has much to do with fixing that, but I think it is telling that even in the Democratic debates not one addressed growing poverty and economic insecurity as an intractable problem.
Dec 5, '07
Crap - I hope this clear those italics:
* Hillary Clinton: how to clean up the foreign policy mess left by Bush and Cheney and rebuilding the US's status and relationships. * Barack Obama: how to address the increasingly dangerous consequences of global warming, which seem to be getting worse more quickly than we expected. * Joe Biden: how to manage competition in global trade, balancing the needs of our workers against the realities of a global marketplace. * John Edwards: how to restore democracy by returning power to individuals after consolidation by forces like corporations. * Dennis Kucinich: whether, once he's president, to hold Bush and Cheney responsible for the crimes they committed in office.
I think the order people answered matters. No one wants to say "me too" - although that probably says something about a candidate as well.
I also think these answers reflect how focused on being president people are. There are lots of problems in the world, but there are only a few where the President has responsibility for figuring out how to fix them.
Global warming is certainly a serious problem. But the President is not responsible for figuring out how to solve it. Obama's answer does not reflect someone who has seriously considered their actual role as President. The President's role is pretty easy, follow the science and support policies that reduce greenhouse emissions. The complexity is in the science and the difficulties for all of us in changing our behavior.
"Restoring democracy" is an issue of policy wonks and politicians. That doesn't make it unimportant, but again it is not something the President is going to be able to solve. To the extent you want to engage that problem, you are probably better off working to strengthen non-governmental democratic institutions rather than running for President. Again the President has a role in solving the problem, but it is limited. For one thing, whoever gets elected, the President reflects and serves the current power structure. We can hardly look to that office for leadership in challenging that structure.
Managing world trade competition is a serious issue that the President could provide leadership to. And I think it really is one that is intractable. Whether the President can actually do anything about it is questionable (see comments on power structure above). But it is a place where having a President who tried to address it would be engcouraging.
Clinton addressed the issue everyone should have chosen. Anyone who thinks cleaning up the mess Bush has created is either easy or the steps are clear is fooling themselves. I think this probably reflects someone who is getting ahead of themselves. Clinton is actually reflecting on the difficulties of being President, rather than focused on getting to be President.
What I find interesting is none of the candidates really addressed what I think is the most difficult issue the United States faces, the growing disparity between the successful wealthy and a sinking middle and working class. How do we hold together a democratic society in which increasing numbers of people are employed figuratively flipping burgers while others are doing quantum mechanics. I am not sure the President has much to do with fixing that, but I think it is telling that even in the Democratic debates not one addressed growing poverty and economic insecurity as an intractable problem.
9:15 a.m.
Dec 5, '07
"Sure, he was a senator back when I was one"
You were a Senator? Wow!
Yes, and that makes me damned old as well as obscure. (One year old, to clarify unnecessarily.)
Dec 5, '07
Chris Lowe: You're on the wrong thread. Demagoguery about illegal immigration will appear on RED State Oregon. Here the demagoguery is about free trade.
In both cases, political points are being made at the expense of economic health in all countries involved and at the expense of millions of impoverished peoples in "developing" countries.
Dec 5, '07
Ross Williams: the answer to your final question? We should fund and develop an educational system that can train (or retrain) workers to do "quantum mechanics," and other skills in demand, instead of propping up inefficient and obsolescent industries that will drain government subsidies and our disposable incomes (through higher prices) so as to keep workers employed at what they are doing now.
Dec 5, '07
They're bad politicians, not criminals. Bush and Cheney are best forgotten, after most of their policies are reversed or discarded. I can see why Kucinich is a favorite of the loony left.
Perhaps you have a different perspective of the difference between criminal acts and "politics" than I do, but as far as I am concerned, I will cast my vote for any candidate Democrat or Republican that promises to fully investigate and prosecute any and all criminal acts committed by Bush “The Torturer” and his henchmen across this country. I am positive that any such investigation and prosecution would result in several life sentences for Bush “The Torturer”.
And, by the way if in your mind that makes me a member of the loony left then you are really a member of the wing nut right.
1:54 p.m.
Dec 5, '07
educational system that can train (or retrain) workers to do "quantum mechanics," and other skills in demand
UPO, you know damned well that most of 'em will never get past Schoedinger's Cat.
Now if we could school them all in Chaos Theory, and debunk the concept of calling "modern economics" a discipline or a science, we could relegate it to the status of a game, which is what it really is;
We could have an honest conversation about the cost of goods production that factored in "costs of production" such as Trillion Dollar War efforts, the global pollution inherent in transporting Barbie Dolls from China to Des Moines, and so on.
Maybe in such an intellectually honest world, the boys at the shop might look more competitive versus the Starving Bangladeshis.
Dec 5, '07
We should fund and develop an educational system that can train (or retrain) workers to do "quantum mechanics,"
You don't need "quantum mechanics" to flip burgers and if everyone could do "quantum mechanics" it would pay like flipping burgers. I didn't intend to get into an argument about the value of education. But I don't think giving everyone a college degree or advanced training is a magic bullet for eliminating poverty and the growing income disparity.
12:49 a.m.
Dec 6, '07
Orbit Planning Uberlord, I think you actually know that "efficiency" is not an absolute phenomenon, but, like relevance, to be spoken of properly must refer to "efficiency to some end." Generally speaking, efficiency to one end tends to have a trade-off in inefficiency to another. You know, like tanks vs. subcompact cars on military effectiveness vs. gas mileage.
For the sake of the argument let me posit something that I don't exactly believe, but is o.k. for a heuristic.
Let's say that lightly regulated markets tend in the long run to to be efficient at maximizing the accumulation of wealth in the system (completely unregulated ones become chaotic, producing phenomena like the murderous "taxi wars" in southern Africa in the early 1990s or the savagely harsh business cycles characterized by repeated depressions between 1830 and 1940). Now, is it therefore true that they are also efficient at producing the best distribution of that wealth? Well, that depends on what you think the purposes of economies and societies are, doesn't it? It will approximate the best distribution for a renewed cycle of efficient total accumulation. But it will not be the best distribution if say we want efficiency in health promotion, or resource conservation, or providing living wages to working people, or decent working conditions, or any number of things. If you actually are an urban planner I suppose you know that.
Now, you and I may disagree as to what efficiencies we seek, and might have a reasonable debate about that.
But if you start of with an aspersion on my motives ipso facto of my happening to disagree, we really can't have a reasonable discussion. And accusing everyone who questions the gospel of free trade in any way of being a "demagogue" is nothing but a motives attack, which indicates unwillingness to talk about actual substance. And just laying down fiat pronouncements isn't actual argument.
Here's the thing. I wrote a Ph.D. dissertation on a little country in southern Africa called Swaziland, population considerably less than metro Portland, where I lived in 1988 and 1989. In the two decades since I was there, Swaziland has acquired the unhappy distinction of having the highest HIV/AIDS prevalence of any country in the world. As you likely know, the global HIV/AIDS crisis is heavily concentrated in Africa.
And there's this huge, tremendous, vicious paradox about that. Because if you look at the overall life expectancy stats for Africa, and any number of other indicators of social well being, economic development and so on since 1945, what you see is that they went up considerably in the late colonial period (1945-early 1960s, except in the south), and then rose much more rapidly from the independence era until the early 1980s. Africans of course had all sorts of huge problems during that period, some of their own making, some due to being grass trampled by the Cold War elephants.
Toward the end of that period, the improvements started to flatten out. There were large debt problems, that had arisen for a variety of causes, many indigenous, many exogenous. A new regime came in at the IMF and World Bank as well as in the Reagan administration, and they imposed highly simplistic "free market" conditionalities on rolling over the debt. Among those conditionalities were ones that for the last 10 or 12 years the World Bank has recognized as being BAD mistakes, to wit, requirements that African countries massively cut education and health budgets.
So, in a horrific coincidence, as the HIV/AIDS epidemic was ramping up in the 1980s, western free market ideologues were forcing the dismantling public health infrastructures across Africa. And guess what? Prevention and treatment of HIV, AIDS, TB, malaria and so on require such infrastructure, and lack of it is now seen to be a major obstacle not only to repsonding to the health crises but to economic development itself, by the Bank and any number of quite orthodox economic analysts, using a human capital perspective.
So you can adopt whatever high and mighty know-it-all tone you want, it still won't change the fact that brainless pro-market ideology has played a major role in the producing Africa's protracted health crises. Acknowledging that truth doesn't make me a demagogue, but if you refuse to acknowledge that markets, and even more market ideologies used to ends often rather different, can be hugely destructive, and that the discussion has to start with aims and not with technocratic assumptions about methods, it does make you an ideologue.
The fact of the matter that knee-jerk market ideology is JUST AS STUPID as any other reflexive ideology -- and is just as much an ideology.
1:15 a.m.
Dec 6, '07
UPO, now that I've got that off my chest, let me also ask you something at lower volume.
You are not, unless memory misserves me, as it sometimes does, one of the climate Pangloss's of this blog, who argue that everything's for the best in this best of all possible energy regimes.
Assuming that there are some real issues there, and without plumping for some sort of autarky, isn't there a real problem about the endless expansion of trade on a global scale, that's going to run up against various kinds of ecological limits? Is it genuinely "more efficient" to have all kinds of stuff made at great distances and moved at high costs, monetary and otherwise?
Certainly it may be cost-efficient if a very narrow and short-term perspective for importer/marketer companies here. Certainly it may be profit-efficient for them in the same perspective. But a great deal of that "efficiency" is illusory. It arises because an inefficiently structured market allows the externalization of costs onto the commons, and thus misprices the goods we buy. China is an attractive place to relocate and contract out production because it permits such cost evasions and mispricings to a degree not permitted here.
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