Another R leaves the sinking ship...
Yet another Oregon House Republican has fled the GOP caucus. Jerry Krummel (R-Wilsonville) announced that he wouldn't seek re-election.
From a press release (posted at Oregon Catalyst):
“This is bittersweet for me,” said State Representative Jerry Krummel (R-Wilsonville) as he announced he will not seek re-election after five terms in the Oregon House of Representatives. “It’s been a true honor to serve the people of House District 26, but it’s time to concentrate on other things in my life.” ...Representative Krummel explained, “I am not seeking re-election because I need to refocus my energy on my teaching career. I will be engaged in continuing education for school administration.” ...
“I plan to serve out the remainder of my current legislative term, fully participate in the Special Session in February 2008, and continue to assist constituents,” noted Krummel.
His departure brings the roster of departing GOPers up to Karen Minnis, Wayne Scott, Donna Nelson, John Dallum, and Jerry Krummel. It's not very much fun being a Republican in a state turning blue.
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Aug 3, '07
What is the partisan split and D performance in district 26? Is this a potential pick-up or a safe republican seat?
9:44 p.m.
Aug 3, '07
Generally a tough seat, but the right candidate might make it competitive.
Lee Coleman, who ran against Jerry, often comments here at BlueOregon.
Lee, any thoughts?
10:21 p.m.
Aug 3, '07
From the SOS office for June:
Dem: 24,367 (36.6%) Repub: 24,894 (37.57%) Lib: 485 PG: 294 Soc: 9 Const: 88 WF: 12 Ind: 68 NA: 14,802 Other: 1,245 Total: 66,264
10:25 p.m.
Aug 3, '07
Ignore those numbers... I went to the wrong page... will post right numbers in a moment.
10:28 p.m.
Aug 3, '07
Sometimes I really wish you could edit your own comments...
Dem: 11,222 (30.78%) Repub: 16,212 (44.47%) Lib: 247 PG: 81 Soc: 0 Const: 47 WF: 34 Ind: 27 NA: 8,172 Other: 415 Total: 36,457
Aug 3, '07
I am betting that Dems will pick up at least Minnis's seat adding one to their total in the House for the next session.
Oregon is turning more blue and frankly, I like it.
2:31 a.m.
Aug 4, '07
So does this bring it to 5 or 6 open GOP seats now?
Aug 4, '07
Yes, it is hard to be in the minority, and I can see why Democrats want to gloat.
But turnover can be a good thing: New blood, new ideas, new energy, and the potential for new talent in the state capitol.
It's regrettable each side wants to demonize the other (yes, I've done my share of demonizing). In our best moments both sides can learn from the other.
Aug 4, '07
HD 26 is a tough district for Democrats. Wilsonville has a Republican edge, but votes favorably on all school bonds/levy issues. However most of the district is in Washington County.
With Krummel not running the person who would be a great candidate is Deomocratic Mayor Charlotte Lehan. It is too early, but there are others who will probably step forward.
10:37 a.m.
Aug 4, '07
Um, Jill, it would seem to me that you'd be a good candidate too! Any interest?
10:40 a.m.
Aug 4, '07
JE's right. It's possible to win a governing majority that can force legislation through. But if Dems do it ideologically and divisively, it will energize the GOP base and endanger the very laws they make. Truly revolutionary change happens when both parties come together; that change is generally at least as liberal as ideologically-driven change (see: beach access, land-use planning, bottle bill, et. al.). Dems will be wise to work with incoming GOP legislators and try to form a governing body that can tackle some of the really big issues confronting Oregon--like our unstable revenue system.
Aug 4, '07
Kari,
Don't know, yet.
11:47 p.m.
Aug 4, '07
Adding to Jenni's stats. In the last two elections in District 26: 2004: Krummel beat Rick Ross 17,600 (59%) to 11,500 (38%)outspending Ross more than 17 to 1 2006: Krummel beat Lee Coleman 14,400 (59%) to 9300 (38%)outpsending Coleman 2 to 1
Aug 5, '07
Another reason people leave the legislature (or don't run to begin with), both Ds and Rs, is the low salaries. You can't live on it, and it's a rare job that allows you the flexibility to keep your job when you're gone for about 8 months every two years. It severely limits the pool of people able to be legislators. It's too bad (understandable, but still too bad) that the legislature didn't have the political will to raise their own salaries this year. It's a good step that they raised interim staff salaries to help get and keep good staff, but legislator salaries are even more important.
2:16 p.m.
Aug 5, '07
Interesting numbers in that particular area. Certainly it does lean heavily R, but there are a good deal of N/A's. Any D candidate would have to pick up a fair amount of those N/A's as well as some of the R's to win. Not impossible, but a tough race though.
Aug 5, '07
Kari,
I was "out to lunch" when I read your comment to me and I need to correct my response!
In 2000 the district changed and West Linn was separated from Wilsonville in the district. I now live in HD 37.
9:39 a.m.
Aug 6, '07
Thanks, Jill. I hadn't caught that shift...
Aug 25, '07
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