Minnis faces challenge from the Right
Caelan MacTavish
East Multnomah County is not what one would think of as a hotbed of conservative activism. But conservatives in District 49 will now have not one, but two conservative candidates to choose from, including current House Speaker Karen Minnis.
As reported by the Big O on Tuesday, former Republican Brad Ridge has filed to run as a Libertarian against Minnis' East Multnomah County seat, giving Minnis a battle on two fronts.
Democrat Rob Brading, also registered in the three-way race, is leading the charge to unseat Minnis. "I am running because the people of East Multnomah county deserve a representative who works for them for a change," Brading said.
While Brading attacks Minnis' horrendous abuse of the Joint Ways and Means Committee from the liberal side, Fudge's campaign will focus on the virtues of being a fiscal conservative, and not a party ideologue. "I could not believe the Republican Party was more concerned with their religious, social agenda than their business issues," Fudge said in the Oregonian article.
With Fudge courting voters uncomfortable with Minnis' hard right stance on social issues, how will this affect Brading's campaign? A split of the conservatives unswayed by the Democrat's campaign to oust the House Speaker can only work in his favor.
We might as well start making the flaws of a two-party system start working in our favor, guys.
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Aug 9, '06
The plot thickens, as they say.
I have a feeling there will be plenty of good news to go around in Nov.
Aug 9, '06
It is Brad Fudge.
Aug 9, '06
Thanks for the information -- I'm glad that Minnis has another challenger.
I would not call a libertarian "to the right" of Minnis. I think the libertarian is considerably more "liberal" than the theocratic-leaning Minnis.
Libertarians share many "progressive" goals, including full civil rights for gays (most libertarians) and legalization of drugs.
Aug 9, '06
Finally, BlueOregon picked up on this story (sorry about my off-topic link to this story in the Billy Dalto thread).
House 49 hammered down Measure 30 (income tax hike), while handily passing M36 (marriage) and M37 (property rights). At least two of those topics (taxation and personal property rights) fit right into the Libertarian platform.
For those H49 moderates to conservatives who have tired of Karen Minnis, but cannot bring themselves to vote for Rob Brading, then this Republican in Libertarian clothing will give them an alternative. And by so doing, hand the election to Brading, who may have won it outright, anyway.
There are only 216 registered Libertarians in that district. But if Fudge manages to pull 1200-1500 votes, that will likely tip the election to Brading. But unlike Brading, who has lived in the district, this guy appears to be another Tina Kotek, who moved into the district after losing in another.
Now, if only one of those 97 Pacific Greenies in Wood Village chose to run, we could have some real fun ...
Aug 9, '06
Steve,
I never said that Fudge, or any Libertarian, was "to the right" of Minnis--only that one of her challengers is from the right side of the political spectrum.
We do have a tendency to see all challengers coming from the outside, and the incumbent in the middle, however. If the new challenger was from, say, the Constitution Party, we could likely call them "to the right" of Minnis. But you're right, Libertarians are progressive on a numer of social issues, and we often find ourselves in agreement with them.
9:02 p.m.
Aug 9, '06
As the Republican party implodes, paying the price for rampant corruption and betraying the best interests of its constituents, it seems the Libertarian party might stand to gain in prominence.
It's important to have credible advocates for fiscal restraint in government, and I don't believe the Republican party will ever reclaim that position.
With Libertarians saying things like this:
...it seems that the party could move in the direction of greater pragmatism (as opposed to pure libertarianism), and could become an attractive destination for Republican defectors weary of the hypocricy, shortsightedness, and corruption of the GOP, but still committed to smaller government. I think that would be a good thing for the state/country.
One thing that baffles me is how smaller parties so often fail to even mention their candidates on their web sites. For instance, Har's article mentions that the Oregon Libertarian party now has 16 candidates for this fall, but most are nowhere to be found on the party's web site.
Aug 9, '06
According to the Oregonian:
"After the 2004 primary, Fudge switched to the Democratic Party, then turned independent. Thursday, he filed as a Libertarian."
Gotta give him credit, however. For a guy who just moved into the district, he can appeal to nearly everyone, drawing on his (brief) experience as a Republican, Democrat, Independent, and now Libertarian.
Hell, maybe if we wait a couple weeks, Fudge will file as a Greenie (right after he switches from the Constitution Party).
9:10 p.m.
Aug 9, '06
Caelan-
Maybe the headline should read "...on the Right" instead of "...from the Right"
It threw me off too, I found contemplating "right of Minnis" about as taxing as ruminating on 17-dimensional space.
:)
Aug 9, '06
CM
I had no idea that Libertarians and Conservatives are...both Conservatives! It seems that article also stated that Fudge (not Ridge) was also a Democrat. So could we also say that voters have a choice of 2 liberals?
Pete
Good call on the fiscal restraint. Although there is a fairly large group of big Government Democrats (Oregon) that will fight it every step of the way.
9:58 p.m.
Aug 9, '06
TH-
Yes, and I will often be one of them.
I'd just rather the people on the other side of the table are genuinely committed to smart/reduced spending, as opposed to being...well, insane. Or in the pockets of special interests/big business/theocrats.
Seems that productive, genuine discussions about building a better future for the state would be more likely that way.
Aug 10, '06
The guy deserves some love for using the name FudgePac.
Humorous.
7:53 a.m.
Aug 10, '06
The vaunted GOP coalition begins splintering...
Aug 10, '06
My understanding is that, in the true spirit of the Libertarian philosopy, Brad Fudge's move to Fairview had little if anything to do with Karen Minnis, and most if not everything to do with a new business venture he's located there. I believe he has new business renting storage condos for RV's and such.
In reading past articles about him, it appears he's fiscally conservative and suspicious of government. He should prove to be a viable choice for voters in HD 49 who don't like Minnis' kowtowing to wealthy corporate interests, who would never vote for a Democrat, yet who want someone who favors a market-based approach to fiscal matters.
Fudge, unlike Minnis, is a very successful businessperson and entrepreneur. Let's hope he gets enough media coverage to give the voters the opportunity to hear from the Libertarian in this race.
Aug 10, '06
as interesting, exciting, and just darned makes me feel good, this news is, I'd suggest we all continue to take this race very seriously. Fudge could melt, or be eated.
btw, my take on Libertarians, like the ones who seem to be running our Fed. Gov't right now, is that they are not in line with progressive values at all. One or two, maybe.
but their sense that there are endless resources, and that the planet can hold endless amounts of people, just so far out of whack with my thinking about the planet that I usually don't find much in common with Libertarians at all. I'd be very careful there.
Check out the Cato Institute's website if you have any doubt.
anyway, thanks for this news. I'm still walking this district in the Fall. They still have a few big trees left, and Fall evenings in Gresham - can you say great Mexican food? Can you say suburbs... mmmmm, don't want to miss that!
Aug 10, '06
Brad Fudge is indeed running, and I'd agree with those who say that you can't actually classify Libertarians as conservative or on the right. I used to be a free-speech, anti-war Democrat, years ago. Then I heard an actual Libertarian say, "The American people should be able to pursue their own peaceful lives without interference from government". Having come of age during Lyndon Johnson's Viet Nam War, then living through Nixon, a choice in which people like those, um, gentlemen didn't have quite so much power appealed (and still appeals) to me.
I'd disagree with the characterizations of our environmentalism. I find that I have to moderate my own beliefs, because I believe that you don't have the right to put even one molecule of your waste into the air I breathe or the water I drink.
Cato is what we call small-l libertarian: think of them as more from the "libertarian" wing of the Republican party. Saying that they speak for big-L Libertarians would be a lot like using Joe Lieberman as an example of a progressive.
Any hint that the Bushies are anything like libertarian comes from a place of ignorance. That's not a bash, I use ignorance reasonably precisely here. We're for less government power over the individual. To join the party, you have to certify that you are against the initiation of force. Read that last sentence again, and try to think of someone in the Bush administration (or family) who could sign that statement.
Anyway, as some noted, Brad Fudge will get votes from those who don't want the government to control either their social or economic lives. Granted, HD49 is not a great place for gay rights (btw, in convention, the LP of Oregon unanimously opposed measure 36, and then voted to make opposing it our #1 priority in that election, over the dozen or so measures on the ballot. I personally wrote the argument against), but I'm betting that there are a good enough number of people who want to be left alone in their economic lives but also don't want to vote for intolerance and bigotry and fundamentalist social mores.
Naturally, the Fudge campaign will be accepting donations. Give those who vote for lower taxes and more personal freedom an option: if all they have is a choice between lower taxes or more personal choice, too many will choose lower taxes because it affects them personally.
Aug 10, '06
Brad Fudge has been, over the last two years, a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, and now a Libertarian. Before I decide whether or not to vote for him, I'd like to have some assurance that he'll stay put in one camp for more than a few months.
I'd consider him in the future. But not for this race.
3:37 p.m.
Aug 10, '06
I haven't seen a comment about this yet, but, when you read the name Fudge, do you think of Homer Simpson going "uhhhhh... Fudge"?
4:01 p.m.
Aug 10, '06
"But unlike Brading, who has lived in the district, this guy appears to be another Tina Kotek, who moved into the district after losing in another."
The primary is over and apparently your candidate lost. Time to stop the stupid posturing about where people used to live.
Oregon may have a history of candidates pretending to live in a trailer in one district while actually living elsewhere but that's not Tina Kotek. She and her partner bought a house in my neighborhood and we're quite glad to have them here.
Aug 10, '06
Spicey writes: "btw, my take on Libertarians, like the ones who seem to be running our Fed. Gov't right now, is that they are not in line with progressive values at all. One or two, maybe. "
Those morons who are running your federal government are not Libertarians.
There are plenty of Libertarians who consider themselves "progressive", if by progressive you mean to improve people's lives. They tend to believe that by opening what today are closed markets many people will be able to improve their lives. Think of it this way. When the government deprives you of a book, an act we call censorship,and the ideas in it are you better off? Probably not.
But when the government deprives you of a service by outlawing something, like snout houses, that's suppossed to help us. In one case that is condemned. In the other that's okay. M.W.
Aug 17, '06
The speculation on the Troutdale Street is that Brad Fudge, who happens to be a good friend of House district 49 Democrat candidate Rob Brading, was encouraged to run as a third candidate for district 49 in an attempt to drain votes from incumbent Karen Minnis.
I've also been told by Chamber members that Fudge, who was recently elected as the new President of the West Columbia Gorge Chamber of Commerce, failed let the Chamber know he was jumping into the district 49 race.