Governor Dean: Announcing for DNC?
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Dear Supporter,
Governor Dean will lay out a vision for the future of the Democratic Party this Wednesday at 12 p.m. Eastern in Washington, D.C.
He will outline not just a direction for our party, but a concrete destination: a party built from the ground up.
That means a party powered by millions of small donors, not millionaires. It means a party that speaks plainly and commits to concrete outcomes that affect real people. And it means a party that competes in every single race, for every single vote, in all fifty states.
The webcast of Howard Dean's speech will air at DemocracyForAmerica.com at 9 a.m. Pacific on Wednesday morning.
Both before and after, discuss here.
UPDATE: Governor Dean did not announce for the DNC, but declared, "[Democrats] have to learn to punch our way off the ropes." Read the transcript here.
Dec. 07, 2004
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2:41 p.m.
Dec 7, '04
Oh yeah, Howard Dean -- that will bring the red states back into the fold.
Dec 7, '04
Jack's right. Let's get Zell Miller to chair the DNC.
Dec 7, '04
As I've said before, Howard Dean on the left and John McCain on the right would make me very happy (though I was thinking presidential candidates) - some real people speaking to the rest of us real people and giving us a real debate that made a real difference. So next we need McCain to head the RNC. Wouldn't that be refreshing?
4:32 p.m.
Dec 7, '04
Jack actually has a point. The problem is not so much Howard Dean's lack of appeal in red states (I'm sure the Governor has many followers in New Mexico, Colorado, & even Iowa).
The problem is his inability to differentiate between Purplish Red States (such as those mentioned above) & Deep Red States such as Idaho or Mississippi.
I think by stating that the Dems should compete in Every race in Every state he is setting up unrealistic goals & expectations rather than striving to reach ones that are actually in range.
We are not going to make the world blue overnight, but we CAN effect change in Certain races in Certain states & Certain Governing Org's that will bring people needed hope, opportunities, and resources that the GOP would otherwise deprive them of.
Karl Rove is not dumb - he has a strategy. If ours is put an egg in every basket, his is sure to win.
If you can't be all things to all people, then how can you compete everywhere at once? That's just not possible nor very practical.
I greatly admire Dean's passion, committment & boundless energy - I just wish he could add a little common sense & political insight into the mix.
Dec 7, '04
I say let Gov. Dean focus on DFA and the expansion of the grassroots movement that it started. This in turn will help the overall party in the close states.
From the DFA site: "Democracy for America played a large role in regaining several legislative chambers for the Democrats, including: the Colorado House and Senate, the North Carolina House, the Oregon Senate, the Vermont House and the Washington Senate. DFA also helped secure a tie in the Iowa Senate. As well, Democracy for America contributed more than $600,000 to 634 candidates for non-federal office. 319 of those candidates won--a 50% win-loss record."
Oh..this was only six or seven months of work, after Gov Dean withdrew from the presidental race, on the DFA agenda and supporting grassroots candidates.
I can not wait too see what will happen with more time in the next 2 cycles('05 and '06).
Dec 7, '04
Yes, Jack. A governor from a rural state, with an A rating from the NRA and a solid track record as a fiscal conservative would never work in the red states. Instead we need a dignified democrat, someone who will proudly continue 10 years of successful electoral strategies. We need to draft Gray Davis for the DNC chair.
Dec 7, '04
heh
Dec 7, '04
We played - no, pandered - to the middle in the last three election cycles. Since that plan is not working, I say that we should be honest. Maybe we are further to left than some red state folks might like. But, I would rather them disagree with us than vote against because our candidate is wishy-washy. Dean is a progressive. He is passionate. He has had an amazing year, turning a very-public fall from grace into a successful grassroots movement.
I am all for it.
Dec 8, '04
I would like him to stay at the grassroots level with DFA and truly build an unstoppable tour de force in 2008. At the DNC chair, a position that would pigeonhole him in too dealing with the petty bullshit of the party and impede the progressive movement severely. He can change the party with getting the progressive Democrats elected in 2005 thru 2007 cycles thru the grassroots level at the local and state levels. Then have the state parties nationwide be transformed in too what all of us what them to be. Therefore the national party as well would ascend in too, what Dean has been preaching for the last year and a half—a progressive proactive party and not a monolithic insipid reactive collection of dimwits. Let Wellington Webb or former Michigan Gov. James Blanchard take on the position of master cat herder. Let Dean take the lead in 2008 by staying at DFA and build an army of progressive Democrats and elected progressive leaders.
7:20 a.m.
Dec 8, '04
Simon Rosenburg is my pick.
Dec 8, '04
The DFA site must be swamped. It's taking forever to load, and it's already 9:04...
Dec 8, '04
The one thing Dean has going against him is that silly liberal label he got smacked with in the primaries. I say, as DNC chair, that might be able to take a bit of a backseat and he can focus on getting the work done.
Truth is, this party is headed for a bit of a clash, and if we don't start working together, we're gonna spend two years bickering on whether pandering has ever gotten us anywhere. (It hasn't.)
I agree with many folks here: reform. Question is, is reform possible with Dean's image, or does that impede our chances of presenting a fresh platform? I'm not really sure. But Dean, progressive as he is, is centrist on some important issues. I say we go for it.
9:59 a.m.
Dec 8, '04
Transcript.
Dec 8, '04
Considering the success that DFA had in the short period of time they were operating, I think throwing the full muscle of the national comittee behind every single race would, at the very least, force the Republicans to fight an actual battle.
If the grassroots are involved, there's no shortage of talent and willpower (something Dean gets).
And considering how much money Kerry held back, money that could have helped in other local or state races, I think there's plenty of financial resources to contest every election and not let a Republican run unopposed.
Cherry-picking works when you're already the majority, I think. But when you're the underdog you need to fight everywhere. And, again, I think Dean gets it when it comes to "red vs. blue" -- he said as much in this speech.
Dec 8, '04
Aaron--has Gov. Blanchard announced he is running? That might be interesting. Our family always thought of him as Jamie Blanchard because that is what my aunt called him. We are originally from Michigan and my aunt and her friend had sons within about a year of each other, and were friends as their sons were growing up. The friend's son was Jamie Blanchard.
A couple decades ago, Jamie Blanchard was the architect while in Congress of the Chrysler Bailout legislation, which among other things put Douglas Fraser, the head of the United Auto Workers, on the Chrysler board so there would be no secrets between labor and management. Such a solution oriented approach might be a good thing.
Christy said. "Maybe we are further to left than some red state folks might like. But, I would rather them disagree with us than vote against because our candidate is wishy-washy."
Last night I saw a biography of Bobby Kennedy. I am old enough to remember the 1968 primary and the competition between Bobby Kennedy and Eugene McCarthy. I DON'T remember any arguments about whether one was "to the left" of the other. Rather the debate was where they stood on issues, "are you for Bobby Kennedy or Eugene McCarthy?" and other more specific concerns. The biography showed Bobby's presidential announcement speech, saying "he came out swinging". But the clip show was "I am not running to oppose any man, but to propose solutions.".
My guess is that many who voted don't see a debate of right vs. left, esp. my niece in her 20s who said she was voting for Bush because she thought he was doing a good job. It seems to me that too many in the 2004 election answered such comments with "no he isn't" rather than "we can do better which is why we propose...".
Dec 8, '04
LT,
Gov. Blanchard name has been mention to be the frontrunning counterperson between the "mislabeled ultra-liberal" Gov. Dean and the "ultra Beltway insider" Harold Ickes. I think that Gov. Blanchard is Jamie Blanchard; since that the Gov. Blanchard was a Congressman serving from January 3, 1975 to January 3, 1983. I don't know what district.
3:23 p.m.
Dec 8, '04
Marcello,
Can you please tell me what is progressive or even Democratic about an 'A' rating from the NRA? Who would even be proud of such a thing?
I'm no Gray Davis fan, but at least he helped take guns off the streets of CA vs. accept the endorsement of a group whose policies make this world a more dangerous & violent place to live.
How is being centrist on guns equal to being fiscally responsible or conscious of the needs of rural America? I'm afraid I'm missing the analogy here.
3:30 p.m.
Dec 8, '04
Debate over "issues" to get to a majority seems ill advised. We've had issues on our side in the last two races for all the good it did us.
The way the Repubs do it is well known to most of us. Take Rumsfeld's answers to questions from the troops in Iraq yesterday as a recent example.
Q: Why do we have to dig around in the scrap piles and weld our own armor into the hummers?
A: People say we can't beat this insurgency and WE MUST.
So likewise:
Q: Why did you scream like a maniac at that thing in Iowa?
A: The Republicans are eating your lunch with their bloated elitist insider cronies. I'll work for YOU!
Q: Why did you vote to support the Iraq war?
A: The Republicans are eating your lunch with their bloated elitist insider cronies. I'll work for YOU!
Just kidding (sort of). What we need is snappy simple rhetoric, i.e. very few talking points stated in sound bites. Then we need a candidate who has the discipline to stay on message without digressing into long winded explanations.
"The people" really want the perception of authenticity during the campaign. They want their candidate to be someone like them, or their resolute and forceful Daddy, or (in the case of Clinton)like that prankster kid at school that everybody likes even though he's always getting sent to the principal's office.
Gore and Kerry would have both probably been good presidents. They were both crap candidates by these standards.
I doubt that hard core conservatives whether they be "money conservatives" or "religious conservatives", will ever be persuaded to see our position, so why worry about converting them? We need the folks that say that they "vote for the person, not the party". These folks rarely pay a lot of attention to the minutiae of the issues. They watch how the candidates talk, walk, and handle themselves in public generally. Then they vote, may God have mercy on us (whatever color she might be).
Dec 8, '04
Christy,
I can't figure out what you mean.
The last three election cycles, I suppose that is 2004, 2002, and 2000. Ok, first we won in 2000. So it worked there except for the SC right? 2002 was the first election after 9/11 so I'm not sure that is analogous to anything. And you seem to ignore the fact that John Kerry received more votes as a Democrat than any other Democratic candidate in history.
If this isn't working, I'm not sure what is. And what would you describe what Clinton did? Pandering to the right? Whatever it was, it worked pretty well at the time.
Dec 8, '04
Posted by: Elizabeth | December 7, 2004 04:32 PM
Elizabeth--the idea of competing in every race is a long-term goal and it is very realistic. Dean's point is that we have surrendered the red states and have let local parties/grassroots wither.
Whether or not our candidates win the first time, or the second or third time--voters must have the opportunity to be exposed to a progressive/Dem message, or nothing will ever change. Sooner or later, people will realize they still don't have any health care etc.--and there will be an alternative.
With grassroots involvement (as opposed to the top-down old way of the DNC), it is entirely do-able to run a progressive candidate for every office. Look how far we came just in the past several months.
As for the NRA rating--as I understand it, that was based on Dean working out habitat preservation compromises with hunters in his state.
The thing about Dean is you may not agree with him on every single issue (guns, death penalty)-- but as with you-know-who, you know where he stands and you know he has strong convictions.
9:55 p.m.
Dec 8, '04
Ruth -
The question is when do you want to start winning again? In 06 or in 2050? With Dean's strategy, we might be able to turn around the red states (by that, I mean, the reddest of the red) in say 20 or 30 years, but I'm not sure there will be anything worth winning by then.
The GOP is being strategic - they are placing themselves as the Party of the South, Plains, & Interior West.
Therefore, we need to position ourselves as the Party of the Upper East, Mid-Atlantic, West Coast, Mid-West, & Southwest.
If you don't still follow my logic, read the "Immutable Laws of Marketing" by Al Ries & Jack Trout. One of the 22 laws is the Law of Opposites: taking the opposite track of your competitor in order to differentiate yourself from them & become a Leader w/in Your Claimed Segment/Niche of the Market.
Politics is just like biz - except we're selling ideas vs. products &/or services & our goal is to effect change/better the world vs. make a profit.
That does not mean we can't or shouldn't implement the tools that work for them.
Dec 8, '04
Elizabeth,
Nice idea, but it is flawed just like the DNC.
Therefore, we need to position ourselves as the Party of the Upper East, Mid-Atlantic, West Coast, Mid-West, & Southwest.
If we would position ourselves in areas listed above in where we did not win like Mid-Atlantic States of North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia and West Virginia; and the Southwest states, of Nevada, Arizona and New Mexico. However, since we got our asses handed to us in the Mid-Atlantic States, your idea is nice but not attainable. Yes, we could focus on the SW states and won the election, but two of those three states are not touchable. The closest race by any means was New Mexico (lost by less than 6200 votes).
Donna Brazile stated that Carl Rove knew that the GOP had 202 electoral votes in the bag as Nov. 1st approached; reasoning for this was that the Democratic National Committee did not have any presence in over half of the country. Why did we lose the popular vote? Because the DNC failed the membership of it's party for not having a presence of each and every state like the GOP at the very minuscule (Hawaii, since it was in play for a day or two) to full force level (all of the Confederate South)!!! If we as a party focus on all 50 states and do a full court press at every level of elected office--we will win! The GOP had races were they had no change in hell in winning here in Oregon--races against DeFazio and Blumenauer. They still got people to run as cannon fonder and make us use our resources. We need to do they same!!!
9:09 a.m.
Dec 9, '04
Aaron,
Let me clarify, by Mid-Atlantic, I was referring to the following states:
NJ, MD, & DE (All Dem Strongholds) <+ DC>
As for the GOP's Cannon Fodder strategy, perhaps we shouldn't be so quick to let them scare us & rush to use our resources in such races.
I mean, Darlene Hooley, I'd understand - but Defazio & Blumunauer? If were not sure about those two, we really don't know what were doing. Part of strategy is knowing your numbers & game plan well enough not to let others freak you out for no reason.
As for the South vs. the Mid-West or S/W, look at the numbers & the regional geography (not just the overall win/lost dynamic). Iowa & OH were the only 'swing' states we lost in the Mid-West (not counting MO, which was out a while ago).
There was barely a state in the South (esp the Deep South) that we came close in. The only ones we didn't get creamed in were the border states of MO & Ark, but the margins were still pretty wide.
But if you look at the S/W, there was less than a 3 pt gap in Nevada, N. Mexico was w/in 1 pt, CO narrowed to about 6 pts (from 9 last time) & AZ was the furthest apart at 10 pts.
But unlike the South & even the Mid-West, the South West is growing & changing demographically...meaning there is a vote to be had there if the Voter ID, Persuasion, & GOTV is done right. It may not happen this year, but that gap is likely to narrow next time if not outright tip.
So, why should we waste resources & time on Idaho or worse, Alabama (which is not going to change on that level no matter how hard we try), when a state with 10 Electoral Votes is trending our way & with a compound of resources could very well break for us in 08?
Yes, we did raise more money - but that doesn't mean you still don't spend that money wisely in order to get the most bang for every buck.
Dec 9, '04
Elizabeth,
Competing nationally -- including in the South, the Southwest, and the Rocky Mountain West -- is important for more than just tactical reasons. A national campaign would force Democrats to develop a national message that would have broader appeal to swing voters in both red and blue states. That's important, because presidential elections are won not just by pressing your advantages, but by removing obstacles that keep people from voting for you -- and often even from hearing you.
6:08 p.m.
Dec 9, '04
I wholeheartedly support Dean's idea of running in every race, all 50 states, every time.
How many people on this board tell us we have to address the urban/rural divide? Talk to populists in the heartland? Drive out to Prineville and (besides golf - I love Meadow Lakes) engage the citizens of Crook County, for example?
To which, I ask: what good does it do if there's no political outcome of a successful discussion?
"Okay, different gun laws for Portland and Prineville make sense to me - now what? This fundie's the only guy on my ballot - should I hold my nose and vote for him, or leave it blank?"
It's one thing to vehemently disagree, even argue on an issue. Far worse, I think, is to not even offer somebody a choice.
Cylvia Hayes stepped up to run against Ben Westlund in Bend a couple of elections ago.
She didn't win - it probably would have taken a miracle - and maybe part of it was an effort on behalf of the State Party to keep Westlund within his district more often, and make him spend some money there.
But you know what else?
If anybody was pissed off at Westlund for dropping an extra 300 grr on some pet art program in a year of alleged budget cuts, checking that box next to Cylvia Hayes' name on the ballot was a damn fine way to express it.
Many folks did just that - and I applaud them, and her, for stepping up.
Dean has it right: we need more people like Cylvia Hayes - because they turn into people like Betty Komp.
Dec 9, '04
Elizabeth,
the point I was trying to make was that the idea that Dean is a crazy leftist with zero appeal in the "red states" is bull. From what I remember of his gun rights position, the issue was one of states rights. You can and should have a different level of gun control in rural Vermont than you do in Washington DC. Personally, I don't vote for candidates based on their second amendment views, but some people do.
And Dean is not someone who will just concede those voters to the republicans because we are not willing to talk to them. In his stump speech he used to say that people in the south with gun racks on their pickup trucks should be voting for us because their jobs are at risk and their kids may be without health insurance. Instead of just giving up of the voters of a large part of our country, let's look at our progressive positions. Let-s take a look at ideas that we can use to start a great American conversation in those states, and in time let them come to the conclusion that the Democratic party is the one on their side, the one they should be voting for.
Dec 10, '04
"So, why should we waste resources & time on Idaho or worse, Alabama (which is not going to change on that level no matter how hard we try), when a state with 10 Electoral Votes is trending our way & with a compound of resources could very well break for us in 08?"
Absolutely we need to push really hard on those very close states.
But part of this is focusing on local races--that's the real beauty of the Dean strategy, growing the farm team and making sure every school board, every city council, and so on is at least contested if not held by a progressive.
At the same time, assuming the DNC embraces the grassroots and gets its messaging act together, I disagree that we shouldn't compete for national races in all 50 states. Look at Montana, Colorado, Arkansas...no way we should retreat to a regional strategy.
We can win at least at some level, in all 50 states, starting now. If we don't try, we'll never win.
Of course, we do have to clear up the little matter of voter suppression and black box vote fraud... OT, but does anyone know what is happening with efforts to institute vote by mail nationwide? Are any OR elected officials on this?
9:56 a.m.
Dec 16, '04
Marcello and Ruth are right.
The fact is every progressive or centrist who reviles this appalling right-wing take over of our country must be represented and included. We are and must be a national party, and Dean seems to be the only one with the spine and the insight to face that fact. It's not about working to 2050 in order to win Alabama's electoral votes someday. It's about empowering every ordinary mainstream progressive citizen and including them in the party on a year to year basis -- not just in a big, confused disorganized rush when a Presidential election rolls around.